The debut of Wednesday night football for 2019 sees Appalachian State at Louisiana Lafayette. UL Lafayette is -1.5, with a total of 68.5 at Bet Now. It opened at -1 and 69.5. The public likes the tiny road underdogs with 54 percent of bets and 69 percent of the money on Appalachian State. Fifty-three percent of wagers and 58 percent of cash is on the under.
App State is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS, going over 3-1. Appalachian State is the top over team in the nation in terms of margin, exceeding the total by an average of 20.6 points per game, a full five points more than the No. 2 team Charlotte. App is averaging a stunning 47 points per game. However, teams averaging at least 47 points per game or more in game five or higher have gone under 194-157-6. Such organizations are only 239-281-12 ATS, including 98-136-3 road for just 41.9 percent.
UL Lafayette is 4-1 SU and a perfect 5-0 in the back pocket, going over 4-1. ULL is third in the country in margin of cover with a 14.6 sweat barometer.
Appalachian State is sensational on offense getting 5.8 yards per rush teams regularly allowing 5.1, 8.4 yards per pass to units that permit an average of 7.1, and yards per play is 6.8 to 6.0. ULL’s best numbers are on offense with rushing yards per attempt being 7.4 relative to 5.9 for the cumulative average of their foes. Though below average passing, overall, they get 7.6 yards per play to squads generally permitting 7.0. They average a stunning 9.4 yards per play at home on 9.6 yards per rush and 9.1 passing yards per attempt.
Against the spread trends: Appalachian State 16-5 overall, but 1-5 in October. ULL is 13-3 overall but just 2-5 off a bye.
Over-under trends: The Rajin’ Cajuns have gone over 28-10-1 after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous contest.
Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. The most excellent college football handicapper builds on a 7-2 college football run with another winner, the side on Appalachian State-Louisiana Lafayette. Thursday through Saturday, I have 15 college football winners. This portfolio includes Friday Night Game of the Year and Big 10 Total of the Year. Get the picks now