North Texas is one of the most significant consensus bets of the year. The public loves betting favorites. The general exception is they do happily bet highly ranked underdogs. But six-point underdog North Texas has gotten a stunning 87 percent of wagers. Here is the sharp rundown.
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: North Texas, Army, UAB, Maryland, Wake Forest
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Army, UAB, Vanderbilt
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: South Florida, Louisville, Charlotte
Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.
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Best team this year in terms of “Sweat Barometer” or margin of cover.
Team | ATS Record | ATS Margin |
Ohio State | 5-1-0 | 18.0 |
Wisconsin | 4-1-0 | 16.6 |
LA Lafayette | 5-0-0 | 14.6 |
Penn State | 3-2-0 | 14.5 |
Navy | 3-1-0 | 12.8 |
Hawaii | 3-2-0 | 11.6 |
Best teams to bet against thus far
Team | ATS Record | ATS Margin |
Nevada | 2-3-0 | -17.1 |
Akron | 0-5-0 | -13.5 |
VA Tech | 1-4-0 | -12.2 |
U Mass | 1-5-0 | -12.2 |
Rutgers | 1-4-0 | -12.0 |
Bowling Green | 1-4-0 | -12.0 |