Contrarian and public betting moves. Joe Duffy’s super sharp cheat sheet for Monday from Joe Duffy’s clipboard. 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Florida State 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Detroit Pistons, Minnesota Timberwolves OVER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Milwaukee opened -14.5 now -10.5, Orlando -6 now -5

Top expert pick: I am 42-26 including Moneyline Underdog Game of the Year on Phoenix +130 to Houston. They won by 36. Now the Moneyline (maybe it’s another underdog?) Game of the Year joins the ML Underdog GOY to make the perfect system 26-0! Get the picks now 

Joe Duffy is 42-26 including Moneyline Underdog Game of the Year on Phoenix +130 to Houston. They won by 36. Now the Moneyline (maybe it’s another underdog?) Game of the Year joins the ML Underdog GOY to make the perfect system 26-0! Get the picks now 

Free NBA pick:

ORLANDO -8.5 Atlanta

Big home favorites in same season revenge of blowout loss are 753-629-35. Yes, Atlanta has young legs but they are traveling off a double-overtime game last night. The record is 214-140-8 since 2012. 

Your Grandmaster is 36-19 in the NBA. #BreakingNews Moneyline Game of the Year among five winners, three are NBA Wise Guys.Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are the single strongest bet in gambling. If you are betting on your own, thanks for keeping the bookies in business for the rest of us. We will keep winning at Promises Made, Promises Delivered. Get the picks now 

Free winner on:

DALLAS -2 Washington

Away favorites off loss under specific situations is 718-551-22.

NBA injuries

Trae Young, ATL @ BOS, probable

Jimmy Butler, MIA @ SAC, doublful

Kristaps Porzingis, DAL @ WAS, questionable

Kemba Walker, BOS vs ATL, Confirmed

Jaylen Brown, BOS vs ATL, Out

Josh Richardson, PHI vs MEM , questionable

Richaun Holmes, SAC vs MIA, questionable

Jonas Valanciunas, MEM @ PHI, questionable

TJ Warren, IND vs TOR, questionable

Victor Oladipo, IND vs TOR, questionable

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Miami Heat; 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Houston Rockets; Penn

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Miami Heat opened -1.5 now +1.5, Philadelphia -7 to -5, Dallas -2 to -4

Baseball season is right around the corner, and the books are already projecting which players will take home a handful of the most prestigious accolades. 

On Thursday, SportsBetting released odds for MLB’s 2020 home run leader, as well as Most Valuable Player and Cy Young awards for each league. 

Mike Trout has the lowest odds to win MVP in his career. Last year, he started the season with 5/2, or +250, odds. Here are his odds for this season and the six prior:

2020: +100

2019: +250

2018: +125

2017: +130

2016: +150

2015: +300

2014: +500

National League newcomer, Mookie Betts, is a 5/1 favorite to bring an MVP award to L.A. for the second straight season. Last year’s winner, Cody Bellinger, has 8/1 odds. 

Gerrit Cole and Jacob DeGrom top the board for Cy Young odds, and Aaron Judge is the favorite to lead the league in home runs. 

You can access MVP, Cy Young and home run odds, which are subject to change, throughout the offseason at SportsBetting

Additionally, the sportsbook has set odds on Pete Rose being reinstated by Major League Baseball following the submission of a recent 20-page petition. The odds of reinstatement are 5/1, or +500, while the chances of it not happening are 1/10. 

AL MVP
Mike Trout	1/1
Aaron Judge	12/1
Gleyber Torres	12/1
Shohei Ohtani	14/1
Alex Bregman	16/1
Francisco Lindor	16/1
DJ LeMaheiu	25/1
Matt Chapman	25/1
Anthony Rendon	30/1
Gerrit Cole	30/1
Marcus Semien	30/1
Rafael Devers	30/1
JD Martinez	40/1
Jorge Polanco	40/1
Jose Altuve	40/1
Matt Olson	40/1
Yordan Alvarez	40/1
Austin Meadows	50/1
Eloy Jimenez	50/1
Gary Sanchez	50/1
George Springer	50/1
Jose Ramirez	50/1
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	50/1
Xander Bogaerts	50/1
Yoan Moncada	50/1
Josh Donaldson	66/1
Nelson Cruz	66/1

NL MVP
Mookie Betts	5/1
Ronald Acuna Jr.	6/1
Christian Yelich	7/1
Cody Bellinger	8/1
Bryce Harper	12/1
Fernando Tatis Jr.	12/1
Juan Soto	12/1
Nolan Arenado	12/1
Ketel Marte	16/1
Javier Baez	20/1
Trevor Story	20/1
Eugenio Suarez	25/1
Freddie Freeman	25/1
Kris Bryant	25/1
Manny Machado	25/1
Paul Goldschmidt	25/1
Rhys Hoskins	28/1
Jacob DeGrom	33/1
Max Scherzer	33/1
Peter Alonso	33/1
Corey Seager	40/1
Anthony Rizzo	50/1

AL Cy Young
Gerrit Cole	3/1
Chris Sale	6/1
Blake Snell	12/1
Justin Verlander	12/1
Mike Clevinger	14/1
James Paxton	16/1
Mike Minor	16/1
Shane Bieber	16/1
Tyler Glasnow	16/1
Zack Greinke	16/1
Corey Kluber	18/1
Luis Severino	18/1
Charlie Morton	25/1
Jake Odorizzi	25/1
Jose Berrios	25/1
Lance Lynn	25/1
Lucas Giolito	25/1
Shohei Ohtani	25/1
Frankie Montas	33/1
Hyun-Jin Ryu	33/1
Sean Manaea	33/1
Carlos Carrasco	40/1
Dallas Keuchel	40/1
Eduardo Rodriguez	50/1

NL Cy Young
Jacob DeGrom	3/1
Max Scherzer	4/1
Jack Flaherty	6/1
Walker Buehler	7/1
Stephen Strasburg	14/1
Clayton Kershaw	18/1
Noah Syndergaard	20/1
Aaron Nola	22/1
Brandon Woodruff	25/1
Luis Castillo	25/1
Mike Soroka	25/1
Patrick Corbin	25/1
Chris Paddack	28/1
German Marquez	28/1
Kirby Yates	33/1
Yu Darvish	33/1
Zach Wheeler	33/1
Johnny Cueto	40/1
Madison Bumgarner	40/1
Max Fried	40/1
Sonny Gray	40/1
Josh Hader	50/1
Marcus Stroman	50/1
Trevor Bauer	50/1

Home Run Leader
Aaron Judge	9/1
Pete Alonso	10/1
Mike Trout	11/1
Ronald Acuna Jr	12/1
Cody Bellinger	14/1
Giancarlo Stanton	14/1
Joey Gallo	14/1
Christian Yelich	16/1
Eugenio Suarez	16/1
Yordan Alvarez	16/1
Nolan Arenado	18/1
Gleyber Torres	20/1
Matt Olson	20/1
Rhys Hoskins	22/1
Alex Bregman	25/1
Jorge Soler	25/1
Bryce Harper	33/1
Trevor Story	33/1
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	33/1
Eloy Jimenez	40/1
Khris Davis	40/1
George Springer	50/1
JD Martinez	50/1
Kris Bryant	50/1
Josh Donaldson	66/1
Nelson Cruz	66/1
Franmil Reyes	80/1
Josh Bell	80/1

Daily baseball premium picks are from where you get your basketball and football picks. OffshoreInsiders.com is always the one-stop shop. 

The football season never stops, and there are plenty of storylines to watch this offseason. 

SportsBetting has set odds for a number of these narratives. They are broken down in sections below, and you can find the NFL props here: 

Season Win Totals

Projections don’t always pan out as they’re supposed to, but they at least give us a starting point in terms of what to expect.

First available to the market at SportsBetting there are over/under regular season win totals for each of the NFL’s 32 teams.

Based on these numbers alone, the playoff picture would look like this:

AFC

1. Chiefs (West)

2. Ravens (North)

3. Patriots (East)

4. Texans/Titans (South)

5. Steelers (WC)

6. Texans/Titans (WC)

NFC

1. 49ers (West)

2. Saints (South)

3. Eagles (East) 

4. Packers/Vikings (North)

5. Packers/Vikings (WC)

6. Cowboys/Seahawks (WC)

Team	Win Total
Arizona Cardinals	6.5
Atlanta Falcons	8
Baltimore Ravens	11
Buffalo Bills	8.5
Carolina Panthers	6.5
Chicago Bears	8
Cincinnati Bengals	5.5
Cleveland Browns	8
Dallas Cowboys	9
Denver Broncos	8
Detroit Lions	6.5
Green Bay Packers	9.5
Houston Texans	8.5
Indianapolis Colts	7.5
Jacksonville Jaguars	6.5
Kansas City Chiefs	11.5
Los Angeles Chargers	7.5
Los Angeles Rams	8.5
Las Vegas Raiders	7
Miami Dolphins	5.5
Minnesota Vikings	9.5
New England Patriots	10.5
New Orleans Saints	10
New York Giants	6.5
New York Jets	6.5
Philadelphia Eagles	10
Pittsburgh Steelers	9
San Francisco 49ers	10.5
Seattle Seahawks	9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7.5
Tennessee Titans	8.5
Washington Redskins	5.5

Chargers and Rivers

The L.A. Chargers are moving on from Philip Rivers, but you have to think that the competitive veteran doesn’t want to hang up his cleats just yet. 

With that said, the oddsmakers are predicting where Rivers might land a roster spot in 2020, and who will be under center for the Chargers in Week 1.

Chargers Next Starting QB
Tyrod Taylor	3/2
Teddy Bridgewater	5/1
Tua Tagovaiola	5/1
Tom Brady	6/1
Justin Herbert	9/1
Jameis Winston	10/1
Marcus Mariota	10/1
Jordan Love	16/1
Andy Dalton	18/1
Jake Fromm	18/1
Dak Prescott	25/1
Ryan Tannehill	25/1
Colin Kaepernick	100/1
Eli Manning	500/1
Philip Rivers’ Next Team
Bucs	2/1
Colts	3/1
Panthers	4/1
Raiders	4/1
Dolphins	11/2
Saints	20/1
Titans	20/1
Cowboys	33/1
Patriots	33/1

Quarterback Carousel 

The Buccaneers are favorites to land Philip Rivers, and if Jameis Winston asks for too big of a contract the team may make a change under center. The odds suggest that will happen. 

Drew Brees is a sizable favorite to not retire and continue his career in New Orleans, while Cam Newton is just slightly favored to be under center in Carolina next season. 

Jameis Winston starts in Week 1 for Bucs

Yes +150

No -200

Cam Newton in Week 1 for Panthers

Yes -150

No +110

Drew Brees on Saints roster in Week 1

Yes -400

No +250

Teddy Bridgewater starting QB in Week 1

Yes -120

No -120

Taysom Hill on Saints roster in Week 1

Yes -900

No +500

Mitch Trubisky starts in Week 1 for Bears

Yes -500

No +300

Tag, You’re It…

Who will be slapped with the dreaded franchise tag this offseason? The oddsmakers weigh in…

Will the Cowboys franchise tag Dad Prescott?

Yes -500

No +300

Will the Titans franchise tag Ryan Tannehill?

Yes -500

No +300

Will the Chiefs franchise tag Chris Jones?

Yes -300

No +200

Hologram Halftime Show

Everyone knows Taylor Swift will get her shot at the Super Bowl big stage, and oddsmakers are predicting that will happen very soon.

Swift will be great, whenever her day comes, but wouldn’t we all like to see a Whitney Houston or Michael Jackson hologram rock out at halftime?

Super Bowl LV Halftime Performer
Taylor Swift	5/1
Adele	8/1
Drake	8/1
Jay-Z	9/1
Rihanna	9/1
Queen	10/1
Foo Fighters	12/1
Ariana Grande	14/1
Billie Eilish	14/1
Bon Jovi	16/1
Justin Bieber	16/1
Lizzo	16/1
Luke Bryan	16/1
Post Malone	16/1
Ed Sheeran	18/1
Metallica	18/1
Elton John	20/1
Garth Brooks	20/1
Imagine Dragons	20/1
Whitney Houston Hologram	20/1
Michael Jackson Hologram	25/1

XFL Cameos

The rebirth of the XFL season begins Saturday, and evidenced by the three-way tie atop the odds boards it’s apparent the bookies aren’t exactly sure how this league will play out. 

Dallas, Washington D.C. and Tampa Bay are co-favorites to win the XFL Championship. 

There are also over/under victory totals for each, but the most fun betting option asks which former and current NFL players will suit up in the alternative league first. 

First to Play in XFL
Chad Johnson	5/1
Adam ‘Pacman’ Jones	7/1
Josh Gordon	10/1
Johnny Manziel	12/1
Randy Gregory	12/1
Vontaze Burfict	12/1
Colin Kaepernick	20/1
Terrell Owens	20/1
Dez Bryant	33/1
Antonio Brown	100/1
Greg Hardy	100/1
Marshawn Lynch	100/1
Tom Brady	500/1

Team	Championship Odds	Win Total
Dallas Renegades	7/2	6
DC Defenders	7/2	5.5
Tampa Bay Vipers	7/2	7.5
Houston Roughnecks	7/1	6
L.A. Wildcats	7/1	4
St. Louis BattleHawks	7/1	3.5
New York Guardians	15/2	4
Seattle Dragons	9/1	3.5

Finally, the odds don’t imply the XFL will cease operations during the season, unlike the AAFL. The chances of doing so are 7/1 while the odds for a completed season are 1/20.

Winning picks daily are at JoeDuffy.Net but get best premium picks from OffshoreInsiders.com

Big day for bettors. Check out latest injury news and get free picks from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com      

Philadelphia vs. Milwaukee (-9, 227)

Big quality underdogs on road are a fade of 771-612-36

Wake-up call as Simmons called Sixers soft 

Teams that are substantially better at home than on the road, actually good road bet and bad home bet (Sixers)

1023-959-44 only 51.8 but warning to not outsmart yourself 

Huge home favorites in same-season revenge of blowout loss 234-181-11 (Milwaukee)

Fade better than .600 teams off 30-point loss and losers of at least three straight is 5-1

Sixers first of back-to-back games 

Sixers fourth straight road game, though spread over eight days

Road underdogs off three straight road losses are 320-241-17 (Sixers)

Big home favorites in same season revenge of blowout loss 752-628-35 including 213-139-8 since 2013

MILWAUKEE

San Antonio vs. Portland (-3,232)

Blazers first of back-to-back games

Third of eight-straight road games for Spurs, while Portland second game in five days

Both teams off loss 25 or more goes over 57.6 percent of time

OVER 

Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy. Your Grandmaster is 34-17 in the NBA. Three more NBA winners. Not only does the Grandmaster have a college basketball system that is 165 games above .500, but also when combined with another angle that applies on the same game produced an 82 percent angle. Four winners in all. Get the picks now 

New Orleans (-4,231.5) vs. Chicago

New Orleans 10-15 SU road, Chicago 11-15 SU home

When road team laying at least two on road despite not having better home/road splits they are 1600-1353-57 for 54.2 percent but nearly 250 games above .500

815-663-31 if won previous same-season meeting 

Zion Williamson first seven games, he is averaging 19.6 points and 8.0 rebounds while shooting 55% from the field and 44% on 3-point attempts

Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak are 634-495-15

NEW ORLEANS 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Wisconsin Green Bay; Portland Trail Blazers, New Orleans Pelicans 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: UT Rio Grande Valley, Pepperdine; Portland Trail Blazers, Orlando 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Stanford opened +1 now -1

Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds 

NBA injury news for betting and fantasy sports:

Anthony Davis probable for Lakers

Zion Williamson will play for New Orleans

Russell Westbrook is questionable for Houston 

The trade of Mookie Betts prompted an adjustment in next season’s World Series odds. 

“There are only about 10 players that can impact a team’s futures odds and win total, and Mookie Betts is certainly one of them,” said Robert Cooper, lines manager at SportsBetting. “He’s a five-tool, everyday player that might finally get the Dodgers over the hump. We’re already seeing more L.A. money from pro bettors.”

On Monday this week, SportsBetting had the Dodgers with 6/1 World Series odds, but they dropped to 4/1 following the trade. L.A.’s pennant odds fell from 3/1 down to 2/1, and the team’s win total jumped two games from 98.5 to 100.5. 

On the Red Sox side, their championship chances went from 25/1 to 33/1 and their victory total 88.5 to 86.5. 

The Yankees remain the 2020 World Series favorites with 7/2 odds.

Current MLB futures odds for every team at SportsBetting