Phillies (Nola -104)-Braves (Fried) 8
- 56% of moneyline tickets on Braves, but 66% of cash on Phillies
- Implies sharp money on Philadelphia
- 51% of tickets on UNDER, 86% of money also on UNDER
- Sharp money on UNDER
- Phillies with .468 slugging percentage, .810 OPS last 7
- Braves just .762 OPS same span
- Phillies 1-4 road -2.8 and 9-12 all -8.1 units
- Atlanta 8-3 home +4.4 units
- Sets up anti-splits angle road team’s winning percentage is at least .370 worse than home team’s winning percentage and not at least 155 favorites, +127.27 units for 9.8 ROI
- Nola .183 BA against, including .153 last three, but first road game
- Fried 1.24 ERA overall, .52 last three and .95 at night
Free pick: PHILLIES