Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has NFL Wise Guy. I went 4-2 NBA yesterday, nailing only Wise Guy. Five NBA Wise Guys, side and four totals. Get the picks now 

NBA free pick is 

DENVER -6.5 Houston

The much more disappointing offense based on delta points scored is 403-306-14. Delta points scored is how many points they scored relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread. Houston covered their only game, while Denver is 0-2 by -9.5 ppg. Regression to the mean angle says go with bad ats team versus a good one that is 252-195-6.

Both of our contrarian indexes, one worldwide sportsbooks, the other has to do with super-square outlaw money, has Houston as the public play and public dogs die. It is rare when both our indexes have fairly strong contrarian bets that point towards betting on the favorite. 

Best teams to bet on in college basketball based on ATS margin. Minimum of three lined contests. 

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
Missouri State	3-0	+17
UC Riverside	3-0-1	+14.2
Kent State	3-0	+13.3
Drake	8-0	+13.3
Winthrop	5-0	+12.7
Baylor	6-0	+12.7

Best teams to bet against in college basketball based on ATS margin. Minimum of three lined contests. 

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
Long Beach State	1-2	-14.5
San Jose State	0-4	-13.6
Northern Illinois	0-7	-13.2

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.