Free NBA winner from Joe Duffy:
NEW YORK +2.5 San Antonio
Though we lost two very close bets (most of you won with Charlotte OVER as we released with just one book up), we also great a break when Spurs went into OT and put the game over the total. It also opens up a nice situation. Fading unrested teams off an OT game is 242-172-7. When we are betting the road team and said team is not playing back-to-back games it covers at 69 percent. Accuscore has New York covering 57.8 percent of simulations. Sportsline gives us a mild edge at 52 percent. NumberFire has our chances at 54.1. EdgePlus has a medium bet on New York. TeamRankings says the number is about right, but bottom line is no simulators tell us to go with Spurs.
Top over-under teams in college basketball based on margin of over/under at least 15 lines games. Top OVER teams:
| Team | OU Record (overs-under) | OU margin |
| St. Francis (NY) | 12-7 | +9.4 |
| Robert Morris | 11-6 | +9.4 |
| Oakland | 21-6 | +9.4 |
| Southern Utah | 11-4 | +9.3 |
| Florida State | 11-5-2 | +8.1 |
| Wyoming | 13-7-1 | +8.1 |
Top UNDER teams:
| Team | OU Record (overs-under) | OU margin |
| Portland State | 4-11 | -10 |
| Idaho State | 4-12 | -8.9 |
| Florida A&M | 6-11 | -7.2 |
| St. Bonaventure | 4-13 | -6.9 |
| St. Pete’s | 7-14 | -6.8 |
| DePaul | 3-13 | -6.7 |
We release plays before lines are widely available so you can shop around for the best lines. Often that costs us when we count records based on the line quoted, often available at very few books at the time. Most of you had Charlotte OVER as a winner, but we count it as a loser in our 94-69 run.
Wise Guy, the NBA Total of the Month among two winners in NBA. Get the picks now Check OffshoreInsiders.com for possible college releases!