College Football Sweat Barometer Standings: Top teams to bet on, against, Top Over and Under Teams

These are the best margin of cover teams in college football. Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
Georgia5-1+14.7
Pittsburgh 4-1+12.3
Michigan State4-1+11.3
Michigan 5-1+11.2
Iowa5-1+10

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These are the teams that have been the best to bet against:

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
Rice1-4-16.4
Vanderbilt1-5-13
Ohio 2-4-12.5
Northwestern1-4-12.5
Clemson 0-5-12.3
Wisconsin2-3-11.2
San Jose St. 1-5-10.3
Missouri0-6-10.2
New Mexico0-6-10

Now the top over teams at MyBookie which will double your first deposit up to $1K. NHL is here and MyBookie is among the first to post hockey lines.

Team       OU Record (overs-under)                                         OU margin
Pittsburgh5-0+18.6
WKU5-0+16.7
Missouri5-1+14
Texas4-2+13.5
Texas Tech3-3+11.4

 OffshoreInsiders.com has the strongest bets and presents the top under team.

Team       OU Record (overs-under)                                         OU margin
Clemson1-4-17.2
Purdue0-5-17.2
Colorado2-3-13
San Jose State3-3-11.9
North Texas1-4-11.7

Oddsmakers: Of Course Alabama is Going to College Football Playoffs

Alabama slipped to No. 5 in the latest AP Poll following its loss to Texas A&M, but the bookies aren’t interested in dropping them past second in the odds.

SportsBetting.ag posted updated CFP odds and and Alabama is second on the board. Georgia is the sole favorite for the first time this season at 1-1, or +100.

Ohio State has climbed back up the list (7-1) following an early-season loss to Oregon.

Iowa jumped into the Top 5 after defeating Penn State while the Nittany Lions fell to 66-1. 

Michigan and Cincinnati remain undefeated and rank sixth and seventh in the odds, respectively at SportsBetting

National Championship Odds

Georgia                       1-1

Alabama                      5-2

Ohio State                   7-1

Oklahoma                   14-1

Iowa                            20-1

Michigan                     25-1

Cincinnati                    28-1

Arizona State              66-1

Michigan State            66-1

Oregon                        66-1

Penn State                  66-1

Texas A&M                 66-1

Clemson                      80-1

Oklahoma State          80-1

Ole Miss                      80-1

Pittsburgh                   80-1

Notre Dame                100-1

Texas                           100-1

Wake Forest                100-1

Kentucky                     125-1

Baylor                          150-1

Florida                         150-1

NC State                      150-1

Utah                            150-1

Coastal Carolina          200-1

Iowa State                   200-1

UCLA                           200-1

Arkansas                     300-1

Auburn                        300-1

SMU                            300-1

Virginia Tech               300-1

BYU                             500-1

Mississippi State         500-1

San Diego State           500-1

Very Critical Information for College Football Betting Week 6, NFL Week 5 Odds

The world agrees that Joe Duffy is the sharpest mind in gambling on sports. He has what the pro bettors will be looking at this weekend in both college football week 6 odds and NFL week 5 picks. It ain’t bragging if it’s true! I am 32-15 in football off another complete sweep of named plays. I am simply so far and away the top football handicapper in the world, almost no pro bettors will bet without my wisdom. NFL and college football winners for Thursday. Friday, get a college football total. Saturday, AAC Total of the Year and Big 10 Cross-Divisional Total of the Year among three Wise Guy among 11 football winners. Sunday, the Mr. NFL responds with five NFL Wise Guys and three Majors.

Bet Now has the lowest juice and the sharpest odds on added rotation college basketball games, which are just around the corner. Set up an account now at Bet Now Remember get free premium picks with a deposit at a vetted sportsbook. 

College Football free Winner for week 6

It ain’t bragging if it’s true! I am 32-15 in football off another complete sweep of named plays. I am simply so far and away the top football handicapper in the world, almost no pro bettors will bet without my wisdom. NFL and college football winners for Thursday. Friday, get a college football total. Saturday, AAC Total of the Year and Big 10 Cross-Divisional Total of the Year among three Wise Guy among 11 football winners. Sunday, the Mr. NFL responds with five NFL Wise Guys and three Majors. Get the picks now 

AKRON +14.5 Bowling Green

College football handicapping is arguably the sport slightly different than some of the other US ATS sports. Most of my best systems would fall under the umbrella of counterintuitive, but this is one of several in college football that are more intuitive. Basically it says to take big points in games the oddsmakers tell us points will be tough to come by. 

Big road underdogs in games expected to be low-scoring are 479-352. Power ratings have this a 9.8 point game, thus at 3.8 percent edge. My top simulator has Akron covering 62 percent of the time. 

NBA Odds Tight, Shaken by Injuries

The NBA’s opening night is exactly two weeks away so it’s a good time to look at the odds heading into the 2021-22 season.

At SportsBetting, the Clippers find themselves with much worse odds than they had at the start of last season (+500). Kawhi Leonard is recovering from an ACL injury, and the Pacific Division is much improved.

The Warriors, however, are fourth on the odds board with Klay Thompson expected to return to action in December or January. 

Below are the latest division, conference and title odds, and current odds leading to and throughout the season can be found SportsBetting  

NBA Championship

Brooklyn Nets                         +240

Los Angeles Lakers                  +350

Milwaukee Bucks                    +900

Golden State Warriors            +1200

Utah Jazz                                 +1400

Phoenix Suns                          +1600

Denver Nuggets                      +1800

Los Angeles Clippers               +2000

Philadelphia 76ers                  +2000

Dallas Mavericks                     +2400

Miami Heat                             +2500

Atlanta Hawks                         +4000

Boston Celtics                         +4000

Chicago Bulls                           +4000

New York Knicks                     +5000

Portland Trail Blazers              +5000

Indiana Pacers                        +8000

Memphis Grizzlies                  +8000

New Orleans Pelicans             +8000

Charlotte Hornets                   +10000

Toronto Raptors                     +10000

Washington Wizards              +12500

Minnesota Timberwolves       +15000

San Antonio Spurs                  +20000

Sacramento Kings                   +25000

Cleveland Cavaliers                 +30000

Detroit Pistons                        +30000

Houston Rockets                     +30000

Oklahoma City Thunder          +30000

Orlando Magic                        +30000

Eastern Conference

Brooklyn Nets                         +110

Milwaukee Bucks                    +425

Philadelphia 76ers                  +850

Miami Heat                             +1200

Boston Celtics                         +1600

Atlanta Hawks                         +1800

Chicago Bulls                           +2000

New York Knicks                     +2800

Charlotte Hornets                   +4000

Indiana Pacers                        +4000

Toronto Raptors                     +4000

Washington Wizards              +5000

Cleveland Cavaliers                 +15000

Detroit Pistons                        +15000

Orlando Magic                        +15000

Western Conference

Los Angeles Lakers                  +190

Golden State Warriors            +550

Utah Jazz                                 +600

Phoenix Suns                          +650

LA Clippers                              +900

Dallas Mavericks                     +1200

Denver Nuggets                      +1200

Portland Trail Blazers              +2800

Memphis Grizzlies                  +4000

New Orleans Pelicans             +4000

Minnesota Timberwolves       +8000

Sacramento Kings                   +12500

San Antonio Spurs                  +12500

Houston Rockets                     +15000

Oklahoma City Thunder          +15000

Atlantic Division

Brooklyn Nets                         -225

Philadelphia 76ers                  +350

Boston Celtics                         +750

New York Knicks                     +1400

Toronto Raptors                     +3300

Central Division

Milwaukee Bucks                    -1000

Chicago Bulls                           +800

Indiana Pacers                        +950

Cleveland Cavaliers                 +17500

Detroit Pistons                        +20000

Northwest Division

Utah Jazz                                 -275

Denver Nuggets                      +325

Portland Trail Blazers              +625

Minnesota Timberwolves       +6600

Oklahoma City Thunder          +20000

Pacific Division

Los Angeles Lakers                  +100

Phoenix Suns                          +190

Golden State Warriors            +400

LA Clippers                              +1200

Sacramento Kings                   +12500

Southeast Division

Miami Heat                             -120

Atlanta Hawks                         +120

Charlotte Hornets                   +1200

Washington Wizards              +2500

Orlando Magic                        +15000

Southwest Division

Dallas Mavericks                     -275

Memphis Grizzlies                  +425

New Orleans Pelicans             +475

San Antonio Spurs                  +5000

Houston Rockets                     +12500

Daily NBA winners at OffshoreInsiders.com  

Bearcats Still on Outside Looking in of CFB Final 4; Michigan Enters The Chat

Despite a signature victory against Notre Dame last Saturday, Cincinnati’s chances of qualifying for the CFP tournament aren’t terribly good, at least according to the odds.

SportsBetting.ag released updated odds to make the CFP four-team field. There are two runaway favorites, and then there are seven teams with better than 6-1 odds.

Additionally, below you will find the latest title and Heisman Trophy numbers. 

Georgia has impressed the oddsmakers enough that the Bulldogs are now national championship co-favorites with Alabama. 

Current odds can be found here SportsBetting  

CFP Qualification

Alabama -800  (88.9% implied probability will play in CFP)

Georgia -800  (88.9%)

Oklahoma -130  (56.5%)

Ohio State +150  (40.0%)

Cincinnati +200  (33.3%)

Michigan +375  (21.1%)

Iowa +450  (18.2%)

Penn State +500  (16.7%)

Texas +550  (15.4%)

Oregon +700  (12.5%)

Clemson +750  (11.8%)

Notre Dame +1100  (8.3%)

Ole Miss +1400  (6.7%)

Heisman Trophy

Bryce Young – Alabama                       +100

Matt Corral – Ole Miss                        +200

Desmond Ridder – Cincinnati              +1000

CJ Stroud – Ohio State                         +1600

Spencer Rattler – Oklahoma               +1600

Bijan Robinson – Texas                        +2000

Kenneth Walker III – Michigan State   +2500

TreVeyon Henderson – Ohio State      +2800

Kenny Pickett – Pittsburgh                  +4000

Sam Howell – UNC                               +4000

Sean Clifford – Penn State                   +4000

Blake Corum – Michigan                     +5000

Jake Haener – Fresno State                 +5000

Malik Willis – Liberty                           +5000

Sean Tucker – Syracuse                       +5000

Breece Hall – Iowa State                     +10000

Emory Jones – Florida                         +10000

Grayson McCall – Coastal Carolina     +10000

Taulia Tagovailoa – Maryland             +10000

CFP Championship

Alabama                      +160

Georgia                       +160

Ohio State                   +1200

Oklahoma                   +1200

Michigan                     +2500

Penn State                  +2500

Cincinnati                    +3300

Iowa                            +4000

Texas                           +4000

Oregon                        +5000

NC State                      +7500

Clemson                      +8000

Michigan State            +8000

Oklahoma State          +8000

Pittsburgh                   +8000

Arizona State              +10000

Auburn                        +10000

North Carolina            +10000

Notre Dame                +10000

Ole Miss                      +10000

Virginia Tech               +10000

Wake Forest                +10000

BYU                             +12500

Arkansas                     +15000

Florida                         +15000

Kentucky                     +15000

LSU                              +15000

Coastal Carolina          +20000

Iowa State                   +20000

UCLA                           +20000

Stanford Cardinal        +25000

Oregon State               +30000

SMU                            +30000

Texas Tech                  +30000

Utah                            +30000

Baylor                          +50000

Mississippi State         +50000

Likely Next Mets Manager Revealed; And you Can Bet on It

Luis Rojas is out as New York Mets manager after two seasons.

Steve Cohen likely won’t waste any time finding his team’s replacement, and SportsBetting.ag has set odds for 18 candidates. 

Joe Espada is the favorite, but the man the Mets nearly had before Rojas, Carlos Beltran, is second on the board with 5-1 odds. 

There are a lot of former Mets in the “longshot” range.

Current odds from SportsBetting  

Next Mets Manager

Joe Espada                  4-1

Carlos Beltran             5-1

Ron Washington         6-1

Buck Showalter           8-1

Brad Ausmus               9-1

Bruce Bochy                10-1

John Gibbons              10-1

Will Venable                10-1

John Farrell                 11-1

Bob Melvin                  12-1

Mike Piazza                 12-1

Willie Randoph           14-1

Joe Maddon                16-1

Bobby Valentine         20-1

David Wright               20-1

Dwight Gooden           50-1

Keith Hernandez         50-1

Darryl Strawberry       66-1

The Gap Between Joe Duffy and Every Other Handicapper is Insurmountable; Here’s Proof

Simply put, there is nobody even in the discussion with Joe Duffy when it comes to the greatest handicapper in history. The CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com is 32-14 in football including winning Conference USA West Total of the Year on Rice-Southern Miss UNDER 45.5

and New England as +7 SNF Interconference Game of the Year. Advanced analytics literally do thousands of manhours of work and millions of dollars worth of winning. Are you still on the outside looking in?  Here is what every pro gambler unloaded with this weekend. Let us know when you are ready to change your gambling life!

Wise Guy

Rice-Southern Miss UNDER 45.5

Conference USA West Total of the Year

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 898-647. Teams off dominating running game go under 488-226. Combining both rushing and math totals produces a stunning under of 94-33.  

Oregon State-Washington UNDER 55.5

Teams off dominating running game go under 488-226. 

Texas-TCU UNDER 67

Teams off dominating running game go under 488-226. 

UCLA-Arizona State UNDER 56.5

Teams off dominating running game go under 488-226. 

EASTERN MICHIGAN +2 Northern Illinois 

Momentum angle is 1386-1136 and our power line says EMU should be -2.3. 

Major

COASTAL CAROLINA -33.5 UL Monroe

Momentum angle is 1386-1136. It has been very good the last couple of years after a 50-50ish slump several years ago. College football is the top momentum sport from a betting standpoint. 

GEORGIA -16 Arkansas

Momentum angle is 1386-1136. It has been very good the last couple of years after a 50-50ish slump several years ago. College football is the top momentum sport from a betting standpoint. 

PITTSBURGH -3 GA Tech

Momentum angle is 1386-1136. It has been very good the last couple of years after a 50-50ish slump several years ago. College football is the top momentum sport from a betting standpoint. 

OHIO STATE -16 Rutgers

Momentum angle is 1386-1136. It has been very good the last couple of years after a 50-50ish slump several years ago. College football is the top momentum sport from a betting standpoint. 

NFL

Wise Guy

Dallas-Carolina OVER 50.5 1:00

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The over version goes over at a rate of 816-601 for 155 units. 

Philadelphia-Kansas City OVER 54.5 1:00

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The over version goes over at a rate of 816-601 for 155 units.

NY Jets-Tennessee OVER 45 1:00

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The over version goes over at a rate of 816-601 for 155 units.

Green Bay-Pittsburgh OVER 45.5 4:25

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The over version goes over at a rate of 816-601 for 155 units.

New Orleans-NY Giants OVER 41.5 1:00

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The over version goes over at a rate of 816-601 for 155 units.

NEW ENGLAND +7 Tampa SNF

SNF Interconference Game of the Year 

I have been monitoring contrarian betting for decades and this is one of the strongest contrarian bets I have ever seen. Every square on earth loves the Bucs, but sharps do not agree. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 54 percent. When a team has a substantially more disappointing offense based on delta points scored, they become a strong bet as regression to the mean takes place. Delta points scored is how many points they scored relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread. 

Major

Chicago-Detroit UNDER 42 1:00

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 1559-1245 for +189.5 units. 

Atlanta-Washington UNDER 48 1:00

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 1559-1245 for +189.5 units. 

NY JETS +6 Tennessee 1:00

This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource. 

ARIZONA +4.5 LA Rams 4:05

I have seen this movie before. An underachieving QB gets new life after being traded. The world is convinced he is finally in the perfect situation. Just as expectations skyrocket, we find out the player is what we thought they were. I am not buying that Matt Stafford is one of the top QBs in the league. As a fairly big favorite against a good team, I fully expect the honeymoon to come to a crashing halt