First full slate of NBA, market report for October 19.
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🏀Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Sacramento, Minnesota
🏀Biggest bets based on percentage of money: San Antonio, New York; Denver OVER, Washington OVER
🏀Largest line moves, opener to current: Memphis -6.5 to -4, Brooklyn -4 to -2.5
🏀Biggest splits. Teams listed have the highest percent of cash compared to bets: Oklahoma City; Minnesota UNDER, Toronto UNDER
There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale.
The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets.
🔥Pistons expected to be drastically improved with Bojan Bogdanovic, Alec Burks, Jaden Ivey and Jalen Duran.
🔥Detroit will be without Marvin Bagley III
🔥Orlando, just 10-31 SU road last year without guards Markelle Fultz and Gary Harris
🔥Cavs made huge offseason acquisition with Donovan Mitchell
🔥Pels starting 5 did not play together at all in preseason because of injuries
🔥Nets talented but erratic with Ben Simmons, Kyrie Irving
🔥Jazz rebuilt letting go of Donovan Mitchell, Rudy Gobert and Bojan Bogdanovic
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