Big night portfolio from Joe Duffy’s Picks. Night Wise Guy among two night winners Get the picks now

Houston-Cleveland

• Jose Urquidy (Or-Keady) for Houston just 19 IP in four starts
  • Team is 3-1
  • OBP against .288
  • 2.79 road ERA, yet .310 OBA and 1.34 WHIP
• Zach Plesac for Cleveland nice 3.10 ERA and .288 OBP against
  • 1.12 ERA last three starts and .258 OPB, .94 WHIP
  • Slightly worse on road, but not substantially
  • Much better at night with 1.23 ERA, .95 WHIP
    • Day 4.83, 1.23

Team trends:

• Houston 95-43 favorites since last August 21 +21.14 units
  • 19-7 overall +9 units
• Cleveland 33-14 overall +13.14 units, 16.9 ROI
  • 27-20 runline with 14.8 percent ROI
• Indians under 47-34-5 home since July 14 of 2018

Minnesota-Miami

• Jose Berrios (Ba-rEE-os) for Minnesota 9-5 2.94 ERA
  • Weird numbers
  • 2.55 last three, though .329 OBP and 1.36 WHIP
  • 3.62 road ERA compared to 2.10 at home but .285 road OBP better than home
  • WHIP nearly identical home/road
  • ERA and WHIP both nearly identical day and night
• Sandy Alcantara 4-9, 4.18 ERA and horrible .342 OBP
  • 6.35 last three starts, .375 OBP, 1.71 WHIP
  • Is better at home in ERA, WHIP, and OBP but not by a lot

Team trends

• Twins under 11-4-1 road
• Marlins have under 51-35-5 dog

Mets-White Sox

• deGrom 2.86 ERA, 1.09 WHIP yet Mets 7-14 in his starts, 4-13 in night starts
  • Last 3 .47 ERA, .270 OBP against, 1.05 WHIP
  • No unearned runs
  • Better road with 2.51 ERA, though OBP and WHIP about same
• Lucas Giolito, Sox 13-7 in his starts but 3.52 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, .284 OBP
  • Twice in last four starts gave up at least six runs
  • Home ERA is 4.47 with WHIP and OBP slightly worse at home

Team trends

• Mets 19-7 favorities with a 21 percent ROI
• White Sox under 37-24 underdogs
• 5-16 overall -9.14 units and -42 ROI