Here are some news and notes from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com

USC-Washington (-10, 59.5)

• USC lost in OT to BYU and Washington crushed BYU last week 45-19 at BYU

• USC young, but talented secondary

  • Giving up long plays against pass and run

  • Helped by fact USC’s DL has been strong

  • Take advantage of live totals

• USC beat both ranked opponents Stanford and Utah though Stanford clearly overrated

• USC 3-11 ATS underdogs under Clay Helton

The pick: USC +10

Joe Duffy is off another great week, going 18-6 in football including Thursday Night Total of the Year, SEC West Total of the Year. We also have two college bets Thursday and Friday each and seven Saturday. It’s all at OffshoreInsiders.com

Kansas State-Oklahoma State (-5, 60)

• Oklahoma State off first loss, while K State is 3-0 SU and ATS

  • Fading teams off first loss if they were at least 3-0 SU is 449-359-16

  • 239-178 road for 57.3 percent

• K State 5th best margin of cover in country at +17.8

• Oklahoma State junior Tylan Wallace leads the conference with 20 receptions, 473 yards and six touchdowns through four games

• OSU RB Chuba Hubbard leads the Big 12 with 642 rushing yards this season.

The pick: Kansas State +5

SMU-USF

• Substantial conference underdogs off win then a bye versus an opponent not on bye 42-12 (USF)

  • USF crushed SC State, but tune-up games are good when better team takes care of business

• All home teams off bye not laying 2.5 or more are 233-165

• Charlie Strong coached SMU QB Shane Buchele at Texas

  • Buechele started all 12 games in Strong’s final season at UT

• Easier to be the hunter than hunted and off road win at ranked TCU and undefeated, in new territory

• While SMU used to heat, consecutive road games versus an opponent off a bye and tune-up game

• USF RB Jordan Cronkite had 1,121 yards rushing last year, just 46 this year should benefit from bye

• New life with freshman QB Jordan McCloud, less film on him

• Opened SMU -6

Pick: USF +7.5

Rutgers-Michigan 

• Michigan in bubble burst situation, fade them 36-15 when undefeated ranked team loses to another ranked

• Big underdogs when both are off losses that were not competitive are 127-99-5 (Rutgers)

  • Bizarre belief better team takes out their anger on inferior

• Versatile Michigan backup QB Dylan McCaffrey is doubtful

• Starting QB Shea Patterson will play, but did get banged up

• Michigan TE  Sean McKeon is doubtful

  • 6 rec, 96 yards, 2 TDs

• Michigan RB Tru Wilson missed last two games, but will return

  • Very good in pass protection

• Michigan RB  Zach Charbonnet is fine after getting just two carries last week on heels of 33 week before to Army

• Rutgers starting QB McLane Carter is questionable, so Art Sitkowski gets start

• Sitkowski career-best 304 yards on 23-for-33 passing to BC

Pick: Rutgers +27

Joe Duffy is 26-12 NFL since preseason. Ten NFL Thursday through Monday, including Interconference Underdog of the Year and AFC Monday Night Game of the Year. Get the picks now

Duke-Virginia Tech (-3, 51) at MyBookie 

• Duke’s Quentin Harris has done very well replacing Daniel Jones and his OL has been very good

  • Both teams off bye

• Duke’s deep passing game a pleasant surprise, but running game not as good as expected

  • 86 points last two games

• Duke has gone 12 straight games without an interception

• V Tech QB Ryan Willis has thrown 4 INT

  • Senior ranks 105th nationally is passing

• V Tech already with 10 sacks, so will test if Duke’s OL is as improved as they look

• Virginia Tech third worst margin of cover in country -14.8 and 0-3 ATS

The pick: pass

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