MLB Handicapping: Cubs vs Brewers

If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Monday when the Chicago Cubs and the Milwaukee Brewers meet at Miller Park.
Tom Gorzelanny will be the starting pitcher for the Cubs on this day. Lefthander Gorzelanny is 2-1 this season with a 4.82 ERA.
Starting this game for the Brewers will be Braden Looper. The righthander has a 4.89 ERA to go along with a 13-6 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Brewers listed as 135-moneyline favorites versus the Cubs, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
The Cubs defeated St. Louis 6-3 in extra innings as a +155 underdog on Sunday. The nine runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (7).
Jake Fox delivered a pinch-hit two-run home run in the 11th inning for Chicago and Andres Blanco was 2-5 with an RBI and a run scored.
Prince Fielder blasted his 40th home run of the season on Sunday afternoon as the Brewers picked up a 6-0 win over the Astros.
The Brewers were winners as -180 home favorites in that contest, while the combined score fell UNDER the day’s posted total (8.5).
Current streak:
Milwaukee has won 5 straight games.
Team records:
Chicago: 76-72 SU
Milwaukee: 74-75 SU
Chicago most recently:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Milwaukee are 6-4
After playing St. Louis are 4-6
After a win are 6-4

Milwaukee most recently:
When playing on Monday are 7-3
Before playing Chi Cubs are 5-5
After playing Houston are 5-5
After a win are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs’s last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Chi Cubs are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs’s last 12 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Milwaukee’s last 17 games
Next up:
Milwaukee home to Chi Cubs, Tuesday, September 22

 

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