When it comes to having the right angle with football totals, nobody wins more than GodsTips, the all-time winningest sports betting service off all time. Among their actual premium plays is the total on the UNC and Miami Florida contest.
North Carolina-Miami Florida UNDER 48.5
Health-wise, North Carolina took another shot this week. Tight end Zack Pianalto, the team’s leading receiver, will miss the remainder of the season with a broken right leg.
And that could lead to bigger concerns for the Tar Heels: They have the most efficient passing game in the ACC, but will be without their most dependable receiver for a game against a Miami defense ranked fourth nationally against the pass.
“We’ve got to try to find a way to manufacture catches and yards from somebody else,” head coach Butch Davis said.
This is a big blow for a team that was averaging 1.4 more yards per reception than their opponent normally allows with him. Sans him is another story.
Our scouting sources tell us teams have figured out how to defend the U and Miami’s overmatched coaching staff cannot adjust. In their first six games this season, the Hurricanes have been in the red zone 26 times and have scored 73 percent of the time — 15 touchdowns (seven passing, eight rushing) and four field goals. Their red zone-scoring percentage ranks 102nd out of 120 Football Bowl Subdivision teams.
A year ago, the Hurricanes converted 81 percent of their trips to the red zone into points. Another huge drop-off for UM: third down efficiency.
Last season, the Canes converted 45.7 percent on third down (16th nationally). They are down to 38.37 percent (77th) this year.
Another problem might be the plays called by offensive coordinator Mark Whipple. At Duke, Harris threw 34 passes — 20 of which were longer than 10 yards. Harris completed only six of those attempts for 140 yards. He was 11 of 14 for 84 yards and a touchdown on his shorter passes.
Miami will be much more conservative. Hence UNC without their top pass catcher, both teams will be much closer to the vest.
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