We have added NBA total and two night college basketball winners to a 4 ET CBB! Our Million Dollar March on Vegas and Offshore is well underway. This means 16-hour days and a lot of winners. We work too hard and have way too much intel to not win more than anyone else. So if you want to win, your decision could not be easier. Lots of coffee and even more winners brewing! Get the picks now
Free pick:
San Antonio-Dallas OVER 224.5
San Antonio is the #4 under team going under by an average of 3.7 ppg. Dallas is also an under team by 1.1 ppg. So under right? Two cumulative under teams go over 800-586-26. Yeah, the sharps bet this thing way up, so too high for premium. AccuScore has 57.9 percent of simulations going over. Sportsline has this going over 59 percent of their 10K simulations. NumberFire gives a slight edge to over with 52.7 percent of their projections exceeding the total. NBC Sports Edge+ has a medium bet on over.
The 2021 MLB season is just over three weeks away so it’s time to take a look at which teams the number-crunchers are projecting to be contenders and pretenders.
SportsBetting has set Yes/No postseason odds for all 30 MLB clubs. The Yankees top the board with the highest probability to advance to the playoffs while the Pirates come in with the worst chances.
Odds and implied probabilities are included for every team below. Odds are provided by Colorado-based SportsBetting and current numbers can be found here:
MLB Postseason Odds
Dodgers: Yes -2000 | No +1000 | Implied probability of making postseason is 95.2%
Yankees: Yes -1200 | No +650 | Implied probability of making postseason is 92.3%
Padres: Yes -600 | No +400 | Implied probability of making postseason is 85.7%
Braves: Yes -295 | No +230 | Implied probability of making postseason is 74.7%
White Sox: Yes -275 | No +220 | Implied probability of making postseason is 73.3%
Mets: Yes -240 | No +190 | Implied probability of making postseason is 70.6%
Twins: Yes -155 | No +125 | Implied probability of making postseason is 60.8%
Astros: Yes -130 | No +100 | Implied probability of making postseason is 56.5%
Athletics: -130 | No +100 | Implied probability of making postseason is 56.5%
Cardinals: Yes -130 | No +100 | Implied probability of making postseason is 56.5%
Blue Jays: Yes -130 | No +100 | Implied probability of making postseason is 56.5%
Rays: Yes +120 | No -150 | Implied probability of making postseason is 45.5%
Nationals: Yes +145 | No -175 | Implied probability of making postseason is 40.8%
Reds: Yes +155 | No -190 | Implied probability of making postseason is 39.2%
Brewers: Yes +160 | No -185 | Implied probability of making postseason is 38.5%
Angels: Yes +170 | No -210 | Implied probability of making postseason is 37.0%
Indians: Yes +250 | No -325 | Implied probability of making postseason is 28.6%
Red Sox: Yes +275 | No -345 | Implied probability of making postseason is 26.7%
Cubs: Yes +300 | No -400 | Implied probability of making postseason is 25.0%
Phillies: Yes +300 | No -400 | Implied probability of making postseason is 25.0%
Giants: Yes +800 | No -1600 | Implied probability of making postseason is 11.1%
Mariners: Yes +1000 | No -2000 | Implied probability of making postseason is 9.1%
Diamondbacks: Yes +1000 | No -2000 | Implied probability of making postseason is 9.1%
Royals: Yes +1000 | No -2000 | Implied probability of making postseason is 9.1%
Rangers: Yes +1000 | No -2000 | Implied probability of making postseason is 9.1%
Marlins: Yes +1200 | No -2500 | Implied probability of making postseason is 7.7%
Tigers: Yes +1400 | No -3300 | Implied probability of making postseason is 6.7%
Orioles: Yes +1800 | No -5000 | Implied probability of making postseason is 5.3%
Rockies: Yes +1800 | No -5000 | Implied probability of making postseason is 5.3%
Pirates: Yes +2000 | No -10000 | Implied probability of making postseason is 4.8%
Bombshell on steroids. Joe Duffy has a Wise Guy among two college basketball night winners. The Wise Guy is 9 ET or later. Why? Many simulators and very sharp action all pointing to the same side! Get the picks now
NORTHERN KENTUCKY -1.5 Oakland
My top model has North Kentucky covering 70 percent. Haslam has Northern Kentucky as about 3.5 favorite. MasseyRatings has NKU winning by three, so slight edge. EDJS has NKU covering the two 52 percent of times, but Oakland just 44 with the rest pushes. At 1.5 even better.
Bovada has posted odds to get an automatic bid to the Big Dance 2021. FSU edges out Virginia as the favorites. Will Duke make a miracle run? They are 16-1. GA Tech is peaking at the right time and is 10-1 to win it. All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1. OffshoreInsiders.com will have the game-by-game winners.
LeBron James didn’t log many minutes in the All-Star Game, and Joel Embiid didn’t even get to play. But the latter recently dethroned the King in the latest MVP odds.
At the halfway point of the season, SportsBettingreleased updated probabilities to make the NBA Playoffs for all 30 teams, as well as the latest odds for MVP, ROY, DPOY and Sixth Man.
After a two-week run at the top of the MVP odds board, James was supplanted by Embiid last week.
LaMelo Ball, Rudy Gobert and Jordan Clarkson continue to be the odds-on favorites for Rookie of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year and Sixth Man of the Year.
In terms of playoff numbers, only the Hornets and Wizards have seen their odds flipped, meaning they were favored to make the playoffs before the season started and now aren’t, or vice versa.
Atlanta Hawks To Make Playoffs Yes -130, No +100 (Odds imply a 56.5% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with a 54.6% chance.)
Boston Celtics To Make Playoffs Make Playoffs: Yes -2500, No +1200 (Odds imply a 96.2% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with a 93.6% chance.)
Brooklyn Nets To Make Playoffs No +1500
Charlotte Hornets To Make Playoffs Yes -200, No +160 (Odds imply a 66.7% chance team will make playoffs. Odds have flipped after started season with an 83.3% chance they wouldn’t make playoffs.)
Chicago Bulls To Make Playoffs Yes +275, No -345 (Odds imply a 77.5% chance team won’t make playoffs. Started season with an 80.0% chance.)
Cleveland Cavaliers To Make Playoffs Yes +2000
Dallas Mavericks To Make Playoffs Yes -345, No +275 (Odds imply a 77.5% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with an 87.7% chance.)
Denver Nuggets To Make Playoffs Yes -1660, No +800 (Odds imply a 94.3% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with a 90.9% chance.)
Detroit Pistons To Make Playoffs Yes +2500
Golden State Warriors To Make Playoffs Yes -115, No -115 (Odds imply a 50.0% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with a 66.7% chance they would make playoffs.)
Houston Rockets To Make Playoffs Yes +1200
Indiana Pacers To Make Playoffs Yes -200, No +160 (Odds imply a 66.7% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with a 63.0% chance.)
Los Angeles Clippers To Make Playoffs No +1000
Los Angeles Lakers To Make Playoffs No +1500
Memphis Grizzlies To Make Playoffs Yes +190, No -240 (Odds imply a 70.6% chance team won’t make playoffs. Started season with a 66.7% chance.)
Miami Heat To Make Playoffs Make Playoffs: Yes -1250, No +650 (Odds imply a 92.6% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with a 92.6% chance.)
Milwaukee Bucks To Make Playoffs No +1200
Minnesota Timberwolves To Make Playoffs Yes +2500
New Orleans Pelicans To Make Playoffs Make Playoffs: Yes +220, No -275 (Odds imply a 73.3% chance team won’t make playoffs. Started season with a 65.5% chance.)
New York Knicks To Make Playoffs Make Playoffs: Yes +120, No -150 (Odds imply a 97.1% chance team won’t make playoffs. Started season with a chance.)
Oklahoma City Thunder To Make Playoffs Yes +1000
Orlando Magic To Make Playoffs Yes +1200, No -2500 (Odds imply a 96.2% chance team won’t make playoffs. Started season with a 66.7% chance.)
Philadelphia 76ers To Make Playoffs No +1500
Phoenix Suns To Make Playoffs No +1200
Portland Trail Blazers To Make Playoffs Make Playoffs: Yes -285, No +225 (Odds imply a 74.0% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with a 64.3% chance.)
Sacramento Kings To Make Playoffs Make Playoffs: Yes +700, No -1250 (Odds imply a 92.6% chance team won’t make playoffs. Started season with a 88.5% chance.)
San Antonio Spurs To Make Playoffs Make Playoffs: Yes -110, No -120 (Odds imply a 54.6% chance team won’t make playoffs. Started season with a 85.5% chance the wouldn’t make playoffs.)
Toronto Raptors To Make Playoffs Make Playoffs: Yes -450, No +325 (Odds imply a 81.8% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with a 90.1% chance.)
Utah To Make Playoffs No +2000
Washington Wizards To Make Playoffs Make Playoffs: Yes +220, No -275 (Odds imply a 73.3% chance team won’t make playoffs. Started season with a 54.6% chance they would make playoffs.)
MVP Joel Embiid +190 LeBron James +210 Nikola Jokic +375 Luka Doncic +1200 James Harden +1200 Damian Lillard +1400 Stephen Curry +1800 Giannis Antetokounmpo +1800 Kawhi Leonard +3300 Donovan Mitchell +4000 Jamal Murray +25000
ROY LaMelo Ball -715 Tyrese Haliburton +500 Anthony Edwards +1200 Immanuel Quickley +2000 James Wiseman +2800 Xavier Tillman +2800 Jae’Sean Tate +5000 Patrick Williams +5000 Tyrese Maxey +5000 Saddiq Bey +6600
DPOY Rudy Gobert -175 Ben Simmons +210 Myles Turner +575 Joel Embiid +1200 Giannis Antetokounmpo +1800 Anthony Davis +2500 Draymond Green +6600 Bam Adebayo +8000
Sixth Man Jordan Clarkson -400 Eric Gordon +1100 Terrence Ross +1600 Chris Boucher +1600 Montrezl Harrell +1800 Thaddeus Young +1800 Tyrese Haliburton +2000 Carmelo Anthony +2200 Goran Dragic +2500 Patty Mills +2500 Tyler Herro +2500 Shake Milton +2800 Lou Williams +5000 Brandon Clarke +6600
Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.
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College basketball is a momentum sport and Utah Valley is getting big points having won two straight, while GC has lost two-of-three. It is senior night for GC and they are loaded with seniors. But such teams generally do well early, get a bit overvalued and are fades late. After an 10-1 ATS start, they have lost 2-of-3 to number.
Utah Valley’s pick and roll with Jamison Overton and Trey Woodbury will give troubles to GCU smallish backcourt with Oscar Frayer banged up. Grand Canyon’s Asbjorn Midtgaard has had a ton of success dominating smaller centers. Tonight, he is matched up against Fardaws Aimaq who can match up physically.
With postponements, UVU has played tougher strength of schedule. Accusports has us covering 58.4 percent. Sportsline has UVU covering 55 percent. TeamRankings slight edge. MasseyRatings says line should be -7.5. Hasalam Metric has it an eight-point game, so modest edge.
Top expert pick from MasterLockLine: The only slump of the entire season is gone! The greatest NCAAB season ever recorded by any source, any time, any place is volcanic. For the season, power of 600-plus is 226-151 excluding pushes.
Service out of San Diego is the No. 1 handicapper west of Mississippi, which includes every Las Vegas based handicapper. College Basketball Game of the Year goes at 9 ET!
All-time No. 1 college basketball service far and away based on units won, releases almost all plays as one-unit, but does also have even more powerful 1.5-units bets. All bets are regular unless 1.5 specified. Up 38.3 units based on one unit per bet, go over 40 units with two sides with 2 ET and 8 ET side
Top NHL and CFL handicapper is not shockingly out of Great White North. They have never had a losing season in CFL or NHL. NHL Lock of the Month.Get a free sports service bet, which also has the full menu, then Get the picks now
The Grandmaster, Joe Duffy has Five NBA winners led by two Wise Guys for night winners. Get the picks now
ATLANA -3 Orlando
Road favorites off of a win that broke a losing streak are 449-317-15. So Hawks have combo of some momentum, but still enough anger. Second game since firing Lloyd Pierce and from a handicapping standpoint, an underachieving team, firing a coach in the middle of the year almost always works short-term.
Bogdan Bogdanovic back for Hawks after missing a bunch of games with knee injury. Still though without Cam Reddish and De’Andre Hunter. Clint Capela GTD. Orlando’s Evan Fournier is questionable. Fournier is averaging 20.0 points, 4.3 rebounds, 4.0 assists and 1.1 steals in 30.6 minutes over the past seven contests.
We exploit various simulators. Accuscore has Atlanta cashing the ticket 60.7 percent. Sportsline has Atlanta covering 59 percent. TeamRankings says line is perfect but NumberFire gives edge to Magic.
Though we lost two very close bets (most of you won with Charlotte OVER as we released with just one book up), we also great a break when Spurs went into OT and put the game over the total. It also opens up a nice situation. Fading unrested teams off an OT game is 242-172-7. When we are betting the road team and said team is not playing back-to-back games it covers at 69 percent. Accuscore has New York covering 57.8 percent of simulations. Sportsline gives us a mild edge at 52 percent. NumberFire has our chances at 54.1. EdgePlus has a medium bet on New York. TeamRankings says the number is about right, but bottom line is no simulators tell us to go with Spurs.
Top over-under teams in college basketball based on margin of over/under at least 15 lines games. Top OVER teams:
Team
OU Record (overs-under)
OU margin
St. Francis (NY)
12-7
+9.4
Robert Morris
11-6
+9.4
Oakland
21-6
+9.4
Southern Utah
11-4
+9.3
Florida State
11-5-2
+8.1
Wyoming
13-7-1
+8.1
From OffshoreInsiders.com
Top UNDER teams:
Team
OU Record (overs-under)
OU margin
Portland State
4-11
-10
Idaho State
4-12
-8.9
Florida A&M
6-11
-7.2
St. Bonaventure
4-13
-6.9
St. Pete’s
7-14
-6.8
DePaul
3-13
-6.7
From OffshoreInsiders.com
We release plays before lines are widely available so you can shop around for the best lines. Often that costs us when we count records based on the line quoted, often available at very few books at the time. Most of you had Charlotte OVER as a winner, but we count it as a loser in our 94-69 run.
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