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Cowboys-Giants Thursday Night Football Betting Splits: Fading the Public and Contrarian BetsCowboys-Giants

Game Overview

  • Matchup: Dallas Cowboys (-6) vs. New York Giants
  • Total Points: 45.5
  • Opening Line: Cowboys -4, 44.5

Betting Splits

  • Spread: 83% of bets and 80% of the money are on the Cowboys.
  • Total Points: 66% of wagers and 60% of the handle are on the OVER.

Analysis

The betting splits for this Thursday Night Football game show a significant public lean towards the Dallas Cowboys. With 83% of bets and 80% of the money backing Dallas, this presents a classic opportunity for contrarian bettors to fade the public. Historically, betting against the public in such lopsided scenarios can be profitable, especially when the line has moved from its opening position of Cowboys -4 to -6 at sportsbooks.

The total points market also shows a majority of bets on the OVER, with 66% of wagers and 60% of the handle. This indicates that the public expects a high-scoring game, which might be another angle for contrarian bettors to consider.

Joe Duffy’s Insights

Joe Duffy, a renowned sports handicapper, is kicking off his third consecutive winning week with a strong lineup of bets. His picks for Thursday Night Football include both the side and total, along with a college football side, an NFL player prop, and an MLB side. Duffy’s track record this season is impressive, with a 6-0 record on named plays in football and an 11-5 record in the NFL. His latest success includes hitting the Bills OVER as the Monday Night Football Total of the Year.

For more detailed analysis and picks, visit OffshoreInsiders.com.

Kareem Hunt Gone, Odds To Win Super Bowl Drop For Chiefs

BetDSI made a slight adjustment to Kansas City’s odds to win Super Bowl LIII following Friday’s release of Pro Bowl running back Kareem Hunt.

Friday morning, the Chiefs had 5/1 odds (+500) to win the Super Bowl. Following the news, oddsmakers moved their chances to +550.

K.C. still has the third-lowest odds on the board following the Saints and Rams, which saw their odds slightly drop on Friday. The Patriots’ odds also moved from +650 to +600. You can find the full list below.

“Kareem Hunt is extremely talented and the Chiefs’ offense will certainly miss him, but his loss doesn’t significantly diminish the team’s chances of winning now and in the playoffs,” BetDSI spokesperson Scott Cooley said. “Spencer Ware is a very capable replacement, and K.C.’s offensive efficiency is more predicated on the play of Patrick Mahomes and the mind of Andy Reid.”

The Chiefs were 14-point favorites at Oakland on Friday morning and that spread has not changed.

BetDSI is also offering a prop on Kareem Hunt’s future in the NFL again.

Will Kareem Hunt play another snap in the NFL?

Yes -140

No +110

Current odds at BetDSI

Super Bowl LIII Odds (as of 12/1/18)

New Orleans Saints +325

Los Angeles Rams +330

Kansas City Chiefs +550

New England Patriots +600

Pittsburgh Steelers +1200

Los Angeles Chargers +1400

Chicago Bears +1600

Houston Texans +1800

Minnesota Vikings +2000

Dallas Cowboys +2200

Seattle Seahawks +4000

Indianapolis Colts +4000

Baltimore Ravens +5000

Philadelphia Eagles +5000

Carolina Panthers +6600

Denver Broncos +8000

Green Bay Packers +10000

Washington Redskins +12500

Tennessee Titans +12500

Cleveland Browns +15000

Cincinnati Bengals +15000

Miami Dolphins +25000

Atlanta Falcons +25000

Detroit Lions +25000

Jacksonville Jaguars +40000

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +50000

New York Giants +50000

Buffalo Bills +75000

New York Jets +100000

Arizona Cardinals +250000

San Francisco 49ers +250000

Oakland Raiders +250000

Carson Wentz Returns: Odds Set By Top Offshore Sportsbook BetDSI

BetDSI  is offering prop bets on when Carson Wentz will return to action for the Philadelphia Eagles, and the odds reflect a longer-than-expected absence.

“Our sources are confirming that Wentz will not only be out a few more weeks, but that it’s highly likely he won’t return until after Philly’s bye,” a BetDSI oddsmaker said. “There’s no reason to rush him back from injury when they have an advantageous early-season schedule and a competent backup quarterback.”

According to BetDSI oddsmakers, Wentz is only worth 3-4 points to a spread (depending on the opponent) because Nick Foles is his backup. However, if a player like Geno Smith or Blaine Gabbert was the backup, Wentz’s value would be higher.

Which week will Carson Wentz start for the Eagles?

Week 2, 3 or 4 (+450)

Week 5 (+500)

Week 6 (+750)

Week 7 (+750)

Week 8 (+1000)

Week 10 or later (+150)

Does not start in 2018 (+2500)

Eagles’ record when Carson Wentz makes first start (must start in reg. season for action)

Losing Record +600

Winning Record -1000

Eagles’ Super Bowl odds when Carson Wentz makes first start (must start in reg. season for action)

Over 8-1 (-115)

Under 8-1 (-115)

Joe Duffy, Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com says Wentz will return as soon as the Eagles lose a game. He does not think they win the first four games, hence weeks 2-4 at +450 is the best at BetDSI

NFL Line Movement Week 1, Totals Moving at BetDSI

Oddsmakers continue to adjust their NFL over/under, or game total, projections as the league implements more rules that cater to the offense. The Week 1 totals reflect that fact in historic fashion.

Currently for Week 1, there is not one game total under 40 points. This will mark the first time in NFL history that at least one game during the first week of the regular season did not feature an over/under in the 30s.

Additionally, with the current numbers at BetDSI at this release time, the average over/under for Week 1 is 45.81.

If that number holds, it will mark the highest totals average for Week 1 in league history. The second-highest was last year at 45.67 points. You can find a list of Week 1 averages dating back to 2002 in this article.

The lowest total on this week’s board is the Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens matchup at 40.5 (already dropped from opener of 42.5). The highest over/under this week is the Houston Texans at New England Patriots game (51).

Here are current Week 1 odds, via BetDSI

Thursday, Sept. 6

Atlanta (PK, 44.5) at Philadelphia

Sunday, Sept. 9

Pittsburgh (-4, 44) at Cleveland

San Francisco (+6.5, 46) at Minnesota

Cincinnati (+2.5, 48.5) at Indianapolis

Buffalo (+7.5, 40.5) at Baltimore

Jacksonville (-3, 43.5) at NY Giants

Tampa Bay (+9.5, 49.5) at New Orleans

Houston (+6, 51) at New England

Tennessee (-1, 45) at Miami

Kansas City (+3.5, 48) at L.A. Chargers

Seattle (+3, 42.5) at Denver

Dallas (+3, 42.5) at Carolina

Washington (+1, 44.5) at Arizona

Chicago (+7.5, 48) at Green Bay

Monday, Sept. 10

NY Jets (+6.5, 45.5) at Detroit

L.A. Rams (-4, 49.5) at Oakland