Free winning pick from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com
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Bubble burst angle that has to do with fading teams off a heartbreaking loss. We have several versions of it with similar concept, but slightly different metrics, all with uncanny results. This one is 96-29-4. It has to do with teams off their first loss of the season and it being a blowout loss.
Frankly, because it has not been as automatic in recent years, it is not a premium bet at this moment, but our free picks are either premium bets or our top games that we are considering for premium.
Joe Duffy has💥 2 Friday bets, including an insane 62-14-1 super system
Saturday🔥 FSI Total of the Year !🎯 Another named play winner among 4 Wise Guys 🤯 and 11 Majors 🎲
🏆 11 Sunday NFL: AI super systems 🤖, outsourced bets (biggest picks from MasterLockLine), contrarian intel
Spread: 83% of bets and 80% of the money are on the Cowboys.
Total Points: 66% of wagers and 60% of the handle are on the OVER.
Analysis
The betting splits for this Thursday Night Football game show a significant public lean towards the Dallas Cowboys. With 83% of bets and 80% of the money backing Dallas, this presents a classic opportunity for contrarian bettors to fade the public. Historically, betting against the public in such lopsided scenarios can be profitable, especially when the line has moved from its opening position of Cowboys -4 to -6 at sportsbooks.
The total points market also shows a majority of bets on the OVER, with 66% of wagers and 60% of the handle. This indicates that the public expects a high-scoring game, which might be another angle for contrarian bettors to consider.
Joe Duffy’s Insights
Joe Duffy, a renowned sports handicapper, is kicking off his third consecutive winning week with a strong lineup of bets. His picks for Thursday Night Football include both the side and total, along with a college football side, an NFL player prop, and an MLB side. Duffy’s track record this season is impressive, with a 6-0 record on named plays in football and an 11-5 record in the NFL. His latest success includes hitting the Bills OVER as the Monday Night Football Total of the Year.
For more detailed analysis and picks, visit OffshoreInsiders.com.
Every Thursday or Friday, Betonline opens up look-ahead lines for the following week. They are taken down on Sunday right before the games start. Here are the opening lines and lookahead lines for week 4.
Then they are re-opened once the games end. OffshoreInsiders.com exploits this intel.
Sometimes there can be a massive change based on injuries or poor play.
If there’s a big line movement from the look-ahead lines, that will be notated.
As you’ll see below, Week 4 has had by far the biggest changes from the look-ahead lines.
Here are notes for each award along with some changes from the previous week.
MVP
Patrick Mahomes Jr. is still the leader.
Derek Carr and Saquon Barkley went from 250/1 to 100/1.
Deshaun Watson went from 66/1 to 150/1.
Jordan Love went from 14/1 to 75/1.
Bryce Young went from 100/1 to 300/1.
Daniel Jones went from 150/1 to 300/1.
Drake Maye, Michael Penix, Nick Chubb, and Russell Wilson are now off the board.
Defensive Player of the Year
TJ Watt is the new favorite.
Khalil Mack went from 88/1 to 33/1.
Roquan Smith went from 75/1 to 50/1.
Josh Allen went from 18/1 to 50/1.
Montez Sweat went from 33/1 to 75/1.
Bradley Chubb, Jalen Ramsey, and Jonathan Greenard are now off the board.
Coach of the Year
Mike Mcdonald is still the favorite
Jerod Mayo went from 33/1 to 10/1.
Mike Tomlin went from 28/1 to 14/1.
Todd Bowles went from 60/1 to 22/1.
Dan Quinn went from 18/1 to 40/1.
Todd Bowles 40/1 to 100/1/
Offensive Rookie of the Year
Caleb Williams is still the favorite.
Xavier Worthy went from 20/1 to 10/1.
Brian Thomas went from 45/1 to 28/1.
Blake Corum and Jonathon Brooks went from 66/1 to 100/1.
Xavier Legette went from 66/1 to 150/1.
Bucky Irving is now on the board.
Audric Estime, Isaac Guerendo, Jalen McMillan, Ja’Lynn Polk, Jermaine Burton, Ray Davis, Roman Wilson, Spencer Rattler, and Troy Franklin are now off the board.
Defensive Rookie of the Year
Dallas Turner is still the leader.
Kamari Lassiter went from 50/1 to 16/1.
Edgerrin Cooper went from 25/1 to 50/1.
Adisa Isaac, Bralen Trice, Ennis Rakestraw Jr., and Jer’Zhan Newton are now off the board.
Comeback Player of the Year
Aaron Rodgers remains the leader.
J.K. Dobbins went from 33/1 to 7/1.
Justin Fields went from 50/1 to 12/1.
Daniel Jones went from 14/1 to 50/1.
Deshaun Watson 35/1 to 100/1.
Sam Darnold and Uchenna Nwosu are now on the board.
Russell Wilson, and Zach Wilson are now on the board.
Awards Odds
Note: Players/Coaches with ↓ improved odds to win award, players/coaches with ↑ odds lengthened to win award. OTB ↑ means off the board. All from Betonline
2024-25 Regular Season MVP
9/5/24
9/11/24
Patrick Mahomes
11/2 (+550)
15/4↓ (+375)
Josh Allen
6/1
11/2 ↓ (+550)
CJ Stroud
17/2 (+850)
9/1 ↑
Jalen Hurts
14/1
10/1 ↓
Brock Purdy
14/1
14/1 ↓
Lamar Jackson
22/1
14/1 ↓
Joe Burrow
9/1
16/1 ↑
Tua Tagovailoa
22/1
16/1 ↓
Dak Prescott
25/1
20/1 ↓
Jared Goff
16/1
20/1 ↑
Aaron Rodgers
20/1
25/1 ↑
Anthony Richardson
25/1
33/1 ↑
Justin Herbert
33/1
33/1
Matthew Stafford
50/1
33/1 ↓
Kirk Cousins
40/1
40/1
Trevor Lawrence
45/1
40/1 ↓
Baker Mayfield
100/1
66/1 ↓
Caleb Williams
33/1
66/1 ↑
Christian McCaffrey
50/1
66/1 ↑
Kyler Murray
33/1
66/1 ↑
Jordan Love
14/1
75/1 ↑
Derek Carr
250/1
100/1 ↓↓
Geno Smith
80/1
100/1 ↑
Saquon Barkley
250/1
100/1 ↓↓
Deshaun Watson
66/1
150/1 ↑
Ja’Marr Chase
150/1
150/1
Justin Jefferson
100/1
150/1 ↑
Sam Darnold
150/1
150/1
Tyreek Hill
100/1
150/1 ↑
Jayden Daniels
200/1
200/1
Justin Fields
150/1
200/1 ↑
Micah Parsons
250/1
200/1 ↓
Will Levis
100/1
200/1 ↑
Derrick Henry
250/1
250/1
Bo Nix
200/1
300/1 ↑
Bryce Young
100/1
300/1 ↑
Cooper Kupp
250/1
300/1 ↑
Daniel Jones
150/1
300/1 ↑
Gardner Minshew
200/1
300/1 ↓
TJ Watt
250/1
300/1 ↑
Drake Maye
300/1
OTB ↑
Michael Penix
300/1
OTB ↑
Nick Chubb
250/1
OTB ↑
Russell Wilson
250/1
OTB ↑
2024-25 Defensive Player of the Year
9/5/24
9/11/24
T.J. Watt
6/1
7/2 ↓ (+350)
Micah Parsons
11/2 (+550)
17/4 ↓ (+425)
Myles Garrett
6/1
8/1 ↑
Aidan Hutchinson
12/1
10/1
Maxx Crosby
7/1
10/1 ↑
Nick Bosa
15/2 (+750)
10/1↑ ↑
Chris Jones
28/1
20/1 ↓
Khalil Mack
88/1
33/1 ↓
Kyle Hamilton
40/1
33/1 ↓
Rashan Gary
28/1
33/1 ↑
Sauce Gardner
40/1
33/1 ↓
Will Anderson Jr.
25/1
33/1 ↑
Danielle Hunter
33/1
50/1 ↑
Josh Allen (JAX)
18/1
50/1 ↑
Quinnen Williams
40/1
50/1 ↑↓
Roquan Smith
75/1
50/1 ↓
Jalen Carter
66/1
66/1
Travon Walker
100/1
66/1 ↑
Joey Bosa
55/1
75/1 ↑
Montez Sweat
33/1
75/1 ↑
Trey Hendrickson
50/1
75/1 ↑
Fred Warner
100/1
100/1
Haason Reddick
50/1
100/1 ↑
Jaelen Phillips
100/1
100/1
Jaire Alexander
150/1
100/1 ↓
Jaylon Johnson
100/1
100/1
Justin Madubuike
100/1
100/1
Minkah Fitzpatrick
100/1
125/1 ↑
Brian Burns
66/1
150/1 ↑
Devon Witherspoon
80/1
150/1 ↑
George Karlaftis
150/1
150/1
Jadeveon Clowney
150/1
150/1
Josh Sweat
150/1
150/1
Kayvon Thibodeaux
100/1
150/1 ↑
Matthew Judon
66/1
150/1 ↑
Patrick Surtain II
66/1
150/1 ↑
Derwin James
100/1
200/1 ↑
Bradley Chubb
100/1
OTB ↑
Jalen Ramsey
100/1
OTB ↑
Jonathan Greenard
150/1
OTB ↑
2024-25 Coach of the Year
9/5/24
9/11/24
Mike Macdonald
12/1
7/1 ↓
Jim Harbaugh
8/1
8/1
Matt Eberflus
8/1
9/1 ↑
Jerod Mayo
33/1
10/1
Kevin O’Connell
18/1
12/1 ↓
DeMeco Ryans
14/1
14/1
Mike Tomlin
28/1
14/1 ↓
Raheem Morris
12/1
16/1 ↑
Shane Steichen
14/1
16/1 ↑
Dan Campbell
28/1
20/1 ↓
Jonathan Gannon
25/1
20/1 ↓
Mike McDaniel
28/1
20/1 ↓
Matt LaFleur
18/1
22/1 ↓
Todd Bowles
60/1
22/1 ↓
Brian Callahan
20/1
25/1 ↑
Dave Canales
16/1
25/1 ↑
Robert Saleh
18/1
28/1 ↑
Sean Payton
25/1
28/1 ↑
Kyle Shanahan
40/1
33/1 ↓
Antonio Pierce
33/1
40/1 ↑
Dan Quinn
18/1
40/1 ↑
Dennis Allen
66/1
40/1 ↓
Sean McVay
40/1
40/1
Zac Taylor
33/1
40/1 ↑
Mike McCarthy
66/1
50/1 ↓
Nick Sirianni
66/1
50/1 ↓
Sean McDermott
40/1
50/1 ↑
Andy Reid
66/1
66/1
Doug Pederson
66/1
66/1
John Harbaugh
50/1
66/1 ↑
Brian Daboll
40/1
100/1 ↑
Kevin Stefanski
66/1
100/1 ↑
2024-25 Offensive Rookie of the Year
9/5/24
9/11/24
Caleb Williams
3/2 (+150)
8/5 ↑ (+160)
Jayden Daniels
19/4 (+475)
5/1 ↑
Marvin Harrison Jr.
6/1
8/1
Bo Nix
9/1
10/1 ↑
Xavier Worthy
20/1
10/1 ↓
Malik Nabers
8/1
14/1 ↑
Drake Maye
28/1
20/1 ↓
Brian Thomas Jr.
45/1
28/1 ↓
Keon Coleman
33/1
33/1
Brock Bowers
50/1
40/1 ↓
Ladd McConkey
33/1
45/1 ↑
Bucky Irving
OTB
50/1 ↓
Michael Penix Jr.
66/1
55/1 ↓
Rome Odunze
50/1
75/1 ↑
Adonai Mitchell
75/1
100/1 ↑
Blake Corum
66/1
100/1 ↑
Jaylen Wright
75/1
100/1 ↑
Jonathon Brooks
66/1
100/1 ↑
MarShawn Lloyd
100/1
100/1
Trey Benson
75/1
100/1 ↑
Xavier Legette
66/1
150/1 ↑
Audric Estime
125/1
OTB ↑
Isaac Guerendo
150/1
OTB ↑
Jalen McMillan
150/1
OTB ↑
Ja’Lynn Polk
100/1
OTB ↑
Jermaine Burton
100/1
OTB ↑
Ray Davis
150/1
OTB ↑
Roman Wilson
150/1
OTB ↑
Spencer Rattler
100/1
OTB ↑
Troy Franklin
100/1
OTB ↑
2024-25 Rookie Defensive Player of the Year
9/5/24
9/11/24
Dallas Turner
9/2 ((+450)
3/1 ↓
Laiatu Latu
3/1
17/4 ↑ (+425)
Jared Verse
8/1
5/1
Byron Murphy II
8/1
10/1 ↑
Quinyon Mitchell
14/1
14/1
Chop Robinson
12/1
16/1 ↑
Kamari Lassiter
50/1
16/1 ↓
Terrion Arnold
10/1
20/1 ↑
Junior Colson
25/1
28/1 ↑
Nate Wiggins
40/1
28/1 ↓
Payton Wilson
25/1
33/1 ↑
Braden Fiske
50/1
40/1 ↓
Cooper DeJean
33/1
50/1 ↑
Edgerrin Cooper
25/1
50/1 ↑
Javon Bullard
50/1
50/1
Kool-Aid McKinstry
40/1
50/1 ↑
Marshawn Kneeland
66/1
50/1
Max Melton
50/1
50/1
Mike Sainristil
33/1
50/1 ↑
Tyler Nubin
50/1
50/1
Darius Robinson
33/1
66/1 ↑
Chris Braswell
66/1
75/1 ↑
Austin Booker
50/1
100/1 ↑
T.J. Tampa
60/1
100/1 ↑
Adisa Isaac
100/1
OTB ↑
Bralen Trice
50/1
OTB ↑
Ennis Rakestraw Jr.
75/1
OTB ↑
Jer’Zhan Newton
40/1
OTB ↑
2024-25 Comeback Player of the Year
9/5/24
9/11/24
Aaron Rodgers
2/1
2/1
Anthony Richardson
9/1
5/1 ↓
Joe Burrow
7/2 (+350)
21/4 ↑ (+525)
Kirk Cousins
6/1
6/1
J.K. Dobbins
33/1
7/1 ↓
Sam Darnold
OTB
10/1 ↓
Justin Fields
50/1
12/1 ↓
Kyler Murray
28/1
14/1 ↓
Nick Chubb
8/1
22/1 ↑
Daniel Jones
14/1
50/1 ↑
Joey Bosa
50/1
50/1
Tank Dell
40/1
55/1 ↑
Deshaun Watson
35/1
100/1 ↑
Harold Landry III
200/1
100/1 ↓
Uchenna Nwosu
OTB
150/1 ↓
Justin Fields
50/1
OTB ↑
Russell Wilson
28/1
OTB ↑
Zach Wilson
100/1
OTB ↑
🎯 Named plays from Joe Duffy: The closest thing to a lock in gambling!
• Hit Chargers UNDER 🔽 to stay undefeated in football 🏈 with named plays including NFLX.
🏆 First NCAAF 🔒 named play is the Friday Night Big 12 Game of the Year!
🔥 Saturday: 4 college football Wise Guys 💡, 12 Majors 📈
💥 Sunday: 3 powerful Wise Guy bets 💡, 4 Majors 📈 in NFL 🏈
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