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GA Southern-Texas State ATS and over-under trends podcast.
Eagles vs. Giants
- Teams on a four-game or more against the spread losing streak and a playoff team previous season are 60-33 against the spread
- 51-25-3 off loss
- Eli Manning No. 1 under QB since 2016 at under 24-13
- Eagles since Jim Schwartz become DC in 2016 have allowed 24.9 points per game road, compared to 14.9 at home
- Manning last season in two meetings: 800 yards passing and six TDs
- Depth WR Russell Shepard is out for NYG
- 4 receptions in 8 targets, 0 TDs
- Philadelphia banged up defensively with LB Nate Gerry, LB D.J. Alexander, DT Holoti Ngata, S Corey Graham all out
- Eagles RB Darren Sproles and Jay Ajayi both out
- Corey Clement returns after a two-game absence
- Eagles 60 percent of bets and 62 percent of the money
- Not a large majority considering public’s love of road favorites
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Texas Tech vs. TCU.
- Texas Tech is 6-1 against the spread with at least nine days rest
- All four games Texas Tech has played with a total of 61 or less the last four years have gone under and by an average of 10.8 points per game
- TCU QB Shawn Robinson will play, but may not start
- 1023 yards passing, 7 TDs but also 6 INTs
- Texas Tech QB Alan Bowman is probable
- 1680 yards, 11 TDs, 3 INTs
- One of three QBs for Tech
- TCU -9 TO margin last three games
- Favorites of 6 or more despite turnover rate of -9 or worse last three games is 12-4 in history of our database (TCU)
- Laying 3.5 or more 15-7 including 11-3 at home
- TCU banged up on OL and could be down two starters
- Texas Tech 3-2 against the spread, but seven best margin of cover at +11.7
- Texas Tech 63 percent of bets and 58 percent of money
- Significant in that rare for underdogs to get such support
Georgia Southern vs. Texas State
- When the current total of one team is at least 14 points less than the previous total, it goes under 305-198 but on a stunning 16-3 over run
- Applies to Texas State
- An angle that says to fade horrible home underdogs is 177-125-6 against the spread but horrid 9-24 this season
- Georgia Southern QB Willie Jones III is expected to return
- 4 starts 41-of-79, 517 yards passing, 3 TDs, 2 INTs
- East is 9-2 SU to West this season (favors GA Southern)
- GA Southern 5-0 against the spread, +10.9 margin of cover, 8th best in country
- GA Southern 77 percent of bets and 78 percent of money
- Ties for sixth biggest bet consensus but tied 11 in money consensus
- Public especially likes favorites in prime-time games