The Washington Redskins are at the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Night Football. Philadelphia is -6 scross the board, though juice is lowest at GTBets for the favorite and at Betonline for the underdog. The total ranges from 44.5 to 45.5.
The money is evenly divided at the offshore and Vegas sportsbooks, with 60 percent of bets on the Eagles, a fairly low percentage for favorites in that price range. Just 59 percent of bets and 70 percent of money on the over, the former also love considering the public’s love of better overs.
Injuries: Eagles RB Josh Adams will likely play. He has 291 yards rushing on 56 carries. But their CB Jalen Mills will miss his third straight game as is fellow CB Avonte Maddox. RB Darren Sproles is questionable and will be limited if he does play. Washington RB Adrian Peterson is officially listed as questionable, but should play.
The Eagles are a horrid 3-8 against the spread, failing to cover by an average of 5.0 points per game, third worst mark in the league. The Redskins are 7-4, but by a slim .7 points per game “sweat barometer” or margin of cover. This game pits two of the biggest under teams in the NFL. The Skins go under at a 6-5 rate, but by an average of 4.2 points per game, making them the second biggest under team in the league using that metric. The Eagles are the No. 5 under team by 2.6 points per game, but also going under 7-4.
There is no motivation edge as this game is a virtual “must win” for each. Washington is averaging just 6.2 yards per pass to teams that normally allow a full yard more and of course now have backup QB Colt McCoy as starter Alex Smith is out for the year. Conversely, the Skins allow a generous 7.3 yards per pass, including 7.8 on the road.
Philadelphia’s defense allows teams normally getting 4.4 yards per carry to get .5 above their normal average. In fact, they are even worse at home allowing a stunning 5.4 yards per carry. The also allow teams to exceed yards per play by .4.
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Against the spread trends (all records ATS): Washington is 7-20 on MNF. Philadelphia is 1-7 on grass. Washington has covered 8-of-11 in Philadelphia.
Over-under trends: Philadelphia has gone under 8-2 off spread loss. Washington has gone under 7-1 after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing their last game.