Three college football free picks from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy. College Football Total of the Year continues historic run. We have NFL Wise Guy as well. As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s picks. Get the picks now
Maryland at Minnesota
Maryland lost 4-of-5 after starting out 2-0 and briefly entering rankings with 63-20 rout of Syracuse
Minnesota a soft 7-0 SU, but most impressive win at Purdue by TD
Seven-point win over South Dakota State and three-point wins against Fresno State and Georgia Southern
Only outscoring teams by 15 points per game
At 7-0 face burden of high expectations
Minnesota has won its past three games by a combined 113-31
Minnesota in statement mode
Maryland QB Tyrrell Pigrome has flashes, just makes mistakes
Josh Jackson could be back this week
Maryland starting young players on defense but baptism by fire
Pick: MARYLAND +17
Notre Dame at Michigan
Teams off dominant rushing effort a great under play at 450-270-23 (applies to ND)
Short road underdogs 643-477-29 (Notre Dame)
But if teams ranked 9th or better are underdogs to a team with at least two losses, the favorite is 73-53-6 for 58.6 (Michigan)
Michigan won four straight at home in series
Michigan lost to two toughest foes Wisconsin and Penn State by TD or more
Michigan holds teams to 1.4 yards per rush, 1 yards per pass, and 1.2 yards per play below their normal average
Offense just above average
Irish good on both sides of ball especially offense where get 1.1 more yards per rush, 1.2 yards per pass, 1.2 yards per play above normal average
Don’t like fact it dropped was 2.5
Irish off bye and on break, so no classes
Early 81 percent of bets on Irish, 86 percent of money
The pick: UNDER 51.5
Washington State at Oregon (-14,64)
Away dog off cover as home favorites are 217-139-11 (Washington State)
14 point or more favorites in quadruple revenge are 34-25-1 (Oregon)
Math angle says over 856-622-28
Only Oregon’s Justin Herbert and Ohio State’s Justin Fields have over 20 touchdowns passes and just one interception this season
Oregon loaded on defense and six guys have led them in tackles in seven games
Washington State averaging 42.7 points per game teams normally allowing 31.2 on 7.7 yards per play teams normally permitting 6.4
WSU terrible on defense allowing 8.3 yards per pass to teams averaging 7.1 and 6.4 yards per play to 5.5
Oregon gets 8.1 yards per pass to squads generally permitting 7.2
Miami Ohio vs. Iowa Saturday night betting tips sees Iowa laying -22 and a total of 47 at MyBookie Iowa opened -21.5 and the total was 50. Suffice to say, the bookies will be rooting for the underdog as 70 percent of bets and a whopping 91 percent of money are on Iowa. The under is 64 and 92 percent respectively.
Iowa returns four starters from a defense that limited the opposition to just 17.8 points per game last season (14th). Defensive lineman A.J. Epenesa is one of the best pass rushers in the country after recording an impressive 10.5 sacks, 16.5 tackles for loss and four forced fumbles. Linebacker Djimon Colbert had 52 tackles as a freshman while safety Geno Stone heads up the secondary after recording four interceptions and three pass deflections last season.
Miami Ohio 8-1 overall, yet 1-7 outside conference to the number. Iowa has covered five straight outside conference.
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Jeff Nadu‘s popular Big Man on Campus show returns and Joe Duffy is honored to discuss Georgia Tech vs. Clemson. Clemson is up to a 36.5 point favorite and 59.5 at MyBookie The game opened at -33 and 59.5. Somewhat low percentages for betting on the favorite as 55 percent of tickets and 65 percent of money on the Tigers. However, with substantial favorites, the percentages do tail off.
I am 5-1 in football including Miami U. Six college football winners, all are regular rotation games. As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s pick Get the picks now
Sports betting headquarters OffshoreInsiders.com and DuffyGifts.com the place to go for gifts for all occasions from MyThirtyOne Gifts brings you very important and critical gambling info for week 1 of NFL betting. Included is a free pick from Grandmaster Handicapper Joe Duffy.
Duffy is 18-6 NFL and get four winners (at least) including a Wise Guy for opening NFL Sunday at OffshoreInsiders.com
Titans vs. Dolphins
Dolphins WR DeVante Parker is doubtful
57 catches last year
MarQueis Gray, very good blocking TD, is out for Miami
Titans WR Rishard Matthews will likely be on rep count, but will play
53 receptions for 795 yards and 4 TDs
The Dolphins are 42-18 SU in their last 60 games at home in September.
In Ryan Tannehill and Adam Gase’s only season together in 2016, the Dolphins went 6-1 SU in Tannehill home starts and averaged 27 points per game.
Marcus Mariota has a 69.1 QB rating on the road in 2017 with 11 interceptions and just five TD passes.
The Dolphins averaged 11.7 more points at home in 2017 than on the road.
The Titans are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games on the road.
The Dolphins are 11-6-2 ATS in their last 19 games as a home underdog.
The total has gone OVER in eight of the Dolphins’ last 11 games. (Avg combined score: 48.09)
The Titans are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games on the road against the Dolphins.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of the Titans’ last 13 games on the road against the Dolphins.
Redskins vs. Cardinals
Skins starting RB Derrius Guice is out for year and FA Adrian Peterson gets start
The Redskins are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games against the Cardinals.
The visiting team is 0-6 SU in the last six games in this matchup.
The Cardinals are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games in September.
The Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games in the late afternoon.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of the Cardinals’ last 20 games at home. (Avg combined score: 42.75)
The Redskins are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five games in Week 1
Washington had a lot of preseason injuries, but come in healthy
Cowboys vs. Panthers
Panthers WR Curtis Samuel is out
Last year’s second round pick had 15 catches before season-ending injury in game 10
Carolina large public bet
The Cowboys are 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 September road games.
Dallas ranked 3rd in net yards per play on the road last season. Carolina ranked 30th in net yards per play at home.
The Cowboys are 5-1 SU in their last six games against the Panthers.
The total has gone OVER in six of the Panthers’ last eight games. (Avg combined score: 52.5)
The Panthers are 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Cowboys’ last nine games. (Avg combined score: 36.33)
The Cowboys are 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games on the road
The Seahawks are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 September road games.
The Broncos are 40-12 SU in their last 52 games at home.
The Broncos are 8-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games in September.
The Seahawks are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games in the late afternoon.
The total has gone UNDER in five of the Seahawks’ last six games on the road. (Avg combined score: 36.5)
Seattle allowed the second-fewest points per game on the road last season (17.2)
Denver all-time top week 1 NFL teams at 38-19-1
High altitude not only helps them at home, but also get more prepared for regular season
Divisional games where wind in single-digits and a total of 44 or lower has gone over 615-499-21
Seattle QB Russell Wilson 14-5-1 underdogs covering by 6.8 points per game
Seattle’s defense in transition with Kam Chanellor and Richard Sherman
Free pick: SEATTLE OVER 42.5
Steelers vs. Browns
Steelers star RB Le’Veon Bell is doubtful as contract holdout
1291 yards rushing last year
Browns NFL’s biggest upgrade at QB with Tyrod Taylor making start
Potential star WR Josh Gordon will be on a “pitch count” after missing a lot of camp time for personal and hamstring injuries
The Steelers are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games vs divisional opponents.
The Browns averaged a league-low 12.3 points per game at home last season.
The Browns are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games at home.
The Browns are 0-17 SU in their last 17 games. (Avg losing margin: 10.53)
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Steelers’ last 11 games against the Browns. (Avg combined score: 41.0)
The Steelers are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games on the road against the Browns.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of the Browns’ last 13 games at home. (Avg combined score: 36.69)
The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Steelers’ last eight games on the road. (Avg combined score: 37.63)
Winds are expected to exceed 10 mph
When total is 50 or less and wins speed is 10 mph or higher, games have gone under 403-324-8
https://youtu.be/1m5UF9odh-8
49ers vs. Vikings
Vikings RB Dalvin Cook is “back to normal” but had two preseason carries since season-ending injury
Look for Latavius Murray and Mike Boone to get extra carries early in season
Jimmy Garoppolo’s teams are averaging 28.3 points per game with him as starter
Faces No. 1 scoring defense from last year
San Francisco without suspended star LB Reuben Foster because of injury
Minnesota very thinned by injuries on OL
The Vikings are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games at home.
The Vikings allowed 13.8 points per game at home last season — second-best in the NFL.
The 49ers went 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS with Jimmy Garoppolo as their starter last season, averaging 28.8 points per game.
The total has gone UNDER in five of the 49ers’ last six games against the Vikings. (Avg combined score: 33.17)
The 49ers are 0-5 SU in their last five games on the road against the Vikings. (Avg losing margin: 14.6)
The Vikings led the league in net yards per play at home last season.
The 49ers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games on the road against the Vikings.
Jimmy Garoppolo went on a date with an adult film actress during the offseason.
The Vikings are 6-0 SU in their last six games at home. (Avg winning margin: 13.83)
The 49ers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games on the road
Vikings HC Mike Zimmer top covering coach in the NFL at 43-21 including 23-9 at home
Minnesota’s Kirk Cousins is 0-3 with a 71.7 passer rating and two touchdowns to five interceptions in Week 1. Only Jets backup Josh McCown (0-8) has a worse rating in season-openers among active quarterbacks (minimum 100 attempts).
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Bengals vs. Colts
Colts QB Andrew Luck makes first regular season appearance since 2016
Colts RB Marlon Mack is questionable
93 carries for 358 yards rushing last year, plus 225 yards receiving and a TD
Bengals star LB Vontaze Burfict is questionable
The Colts are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 1.
The Colts ranked last in net yards per play at home last season.
Andy Dalton’s QB rating was 19 points higher in road games last season compared with home games.
The total has gone UNDER in the Colts’ last eight games. (Avg combined score: 34.88)
The Bengals are 0-8 SU in their last eight games on the road against the Colts. (Avg losing margin: 17.5)
The total has gone UNDER in the Bengals’ last five games on the road against the Colts.
The Colts are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as home favorites.
The Bengals are 4-14 SU in their last 18 games as underdog.
Buccaneers vs. Saints
Tampa starting QB Jameis Winston suspended
Journeyman Ryan Fitzpatrick gets start
Saints QB Drew Brees with 48 career passing TDs to Tampa, most against any opponent
New Orleans big public bet
New Orleans averaged the most points per game at home last season with 30.2. The Bucs allowed the most points per game on the road last season with 29.2.
The Saints are 8-0 SU in their last eight games at home. (Avg winning margin: 10.25).
In two games vs the Bucs last season, Alvin Kamara had 280 total yards and 3 TDs.
The Saints are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs their division at home.
The Saints ranked 1st in net yards per play last season. Tampa Bay ranked 26th in net yards per play on the road.
The total has gone OVER in four of the Saints’ last five games at home. (Avg combined score: 52.0)
The total has gone OVER in seven of the Buccaneers’ last nine games on the road. (Avg combined score: 51.67)
The Buccaneers are 0-7 SU in their last seven games as road underdogs.
The Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a double-digit underdog.
Saints biggest favorites in week 1 but biggest faves in opening week 12-22 against the spread since 1993
All week 1 underdogs of eight or more since 1995 are 38-19
Bucs Ryan Fitzpatrick worst NFL underdog at 28-41
Chiefs vs. Chargers
Chargers ageing future Hall-of-Famer Antonio Gates is probably
Off career-low 316 yards, 30 catches
Hunter Henry, who had 45 catches for 579 yards last year out
KC QB Patrick Mahomes makes his second career start
First QB since 2008 a QB with 5 or less starts took over for an offense that was Top 5 previous season
The Chiefs are 8-0 SU in their last eight games against the Chargers. (Avg winning margin: 12.38)
In two games vs KC last season, Philip Rivers had 1 TD and 6 INTs with a 42.9 QB rating.
The Chiefs ranked 1st overall in net yards per play on the road last season.
The Chiefs are 16-1 SU in their last 17 games vs divisional opponents.
The Chiefs are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 divisional road games.
The Chargers are 4-16 SU in their last 20 divisional games.
The Chiefs are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games vs divisional opponents.
The Chiefs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against the Chargers.
The total has gone UNDER in six of the Chiefs’ last eight games against the Chargers. (Avg combined score: 39.88)
The Chargers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in the Chargers’ last six games. (Avg combined score: 35.0)
The Chiefs are 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road in September
Chiefs HC Andy Reid is 30-19 with more than a week to prepare
Chargers QB Philip Rivers 0-8 to Chiefs DC Bob Sutton with 13 INTs to 6 TDs
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