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Sports Betting News

Week 4 NFL Opening Lines, With Line Moves From Lookahead

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Every Thursday or Friday, Betonline opens up look-ahead lines for the following week. They are taken down on Sunday right before the games start. Here are the opening lines and lookahead lines for week 4. 

Then they are re-opened once the games end. OffshoreInsiders.com exploits this intel. 

Sometimes there can be a massive change based on injuries or poor play. 

If there’s a big line movement from the look-ahead lines, that will be notated.

As you’ll see below, Week 4 has had by far the biggest changes from the look-ahead lines.

NFL Week 4 Lines

Thursday, September 26, 2024

  • Dallas (-5½) @ New York Giants
    • Note: Dallas opened -6½.

Sunday, September 29, 2024

  • New Orleans @ Atlanta (-1½)
  • Los Angeles Rams (-1) @ Chicago
    • Note: Chicago opened -3.
  • Minnesota @ Green Bay (-2)
  • Pittsburgh (-2) @ Indianapolis
    • Note: Indianapolis opened -1.
  • Denver @ New York Jets (-7½)
  • Philadelphia (-2½) @ Tampa Bay
    • Note: Game opened as a pick’em.
  • Cincinnati (-6½) @ Carolina
  • Jacksonville @ Houston (-4½)
  • Washington @ Arizona (-4½)
  • New England @ San Francisco (-10½) 
  • Cleveland (-1½) @ Las Vegas
  • Kansas City (-9) @ Los Angeles Chargers
    • Note: KC opened -3½.
  • Buffalo @ Baltimore (-2½)

Monday, September 30, 2024

  • Tennessee (-1) @ Miami
    • Note: Miami opened -2½.
  • Seattle @ Detroit (-4½)

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Sports Betting News

MNF, NBA Sharp Action, Pros vs. Joes, Major Live Moves, Computer System

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Rare, I mean utterly rare losing day for JDP. So now is the time to jump on because the bookies have hell to play. Oh, we had one of our worst NFL Sundays in 30 years in the business and finished the football weekend five games above .500. Let that sink in. A nightmare for us is going five games above .500 in football.

Very rare case of MNF side and total.  Buy early because we have four NBA led by two Wise Guys led by systems we got from a powerful syndicate. These lines are all but certain to move.  Get the picks now

Tennessee-Dallas (-5, 40) 

Total opened at 42. Sportsbooks such as Bovada have seen 66 percent of bets and 65 percent of money on the OVER with 64 percent of bets and 58 percent of money on Dallas.

Free pick is New York-Chicago OVER 212.5

Analysis: When two teams are trending UNDER, the game goes over at an 840-665 rate. Plus our outlaw total is 216.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Orlando, Golden State, Houston OVER, Boston OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Orlando, Golden State, Cleveland OVER, Houston OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Golden State OVER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Utah opened at -1, now +2, Denver -2.5 now pick, Detroit -5.5 now -3.5.

Best teams to bet on in terms of margin of cover (against the spread record followed by margin): Milwaukee 6-2-1 covering by an average of 11.4 points per game, Portland 7-3 by 7.1, Charlotte 7-3 by 6.8 points per game, LA Clippers 5-4 by 6.7.

Best teams to bet against in terms of margin of cover (against the spread record followed by margin): Houston 2-6 -9.8, Washington 2-7 -9.7, Cleveland 4-5 -7.7.

Sports Betting News

College Football Critical Weather, Free Pick, Pros vs. Joes, Other Urgent Gambling Intel

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Super sharp report for Saturday November 3 including weather, biggest service plays, free pick, injuries, line moves, sharp bets, more.

Biggest bets: Joe Duffy is 791-633 since August of last year! Historic explosion continues with another football sweep last night with Pittsburgh UNDER and MTSU to go to 72-41 in football! JPD has six Wise Guys, eight Majors in college football Saturday!  Get the picks now

NFL time from the NFL Specialist! Three NFL Wise Guys and eight Majors. As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s picks. So get Bet it Trinity or Joe Duffy’s Picks four-day pick pack or longer.

CFB:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Michigan State, Ohio State, Georgia Tech, Iowa State; West Virginia OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Iowa State, Ohio State, Michigan State, Georgia Tech; Arizona State OVER, Oklahoma OVER, Maryland UNDER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: USC, Notre Dame, UCLA OVER, Georgia Tech OVER, Kansas UNDER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Notre Dame opened -7 now -10, Oregon -13 to -10, Oklahoma -10.5 to -13.5

Free pick is from Joe Duffy’s Picks:

Texas A&M-Auburn UNDER 49

At least one high scoring team but fairly low total and either or both have a total much less than previous week goes under 406-248.

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Weather:

Michigan State-Maryland

16 mph winds

Air Force-Army

17 mph winds

Oklahoma State-Baylor

18 mph winds

North Texas-Old Dominion

16 mph winds

San Jose State-Wyoming

26 mph winds

Kansas State-TCU

22 mph winds

West Virginia-Texas

18 mph winds

UTEP-Rice

15 mph winds

Connecticut-Tulsa

16 mph winds

Houston-SMU

16 mph winds

Oklahoma-Texas Tech

16 mph winds

Stanford-Washington

76% percent chance of precipitation.

Kent-Buffalo

21 mph winds

California-Washington State

53% percent chance of precipitation.

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Best teams to bet on in terms of margin of cover (against the spread record followed by margin): Army 5-2-1 +13.5, Utah State 7-1 +12.6, Fresno State 7-1 +12.1, Cincinnati 5-3 +10.3, Florida International +10

Best teams to bet against in terms of margin of cover (against the spread record followed by margin): Louisville 1-7 -16.4, Florida Atlantic 1-7 -11.8, New Mexico State 2-7 -10.3, Florida State 3-5 -9.4

Biggest over teams (over-under record followed by margin; number of OVERS listed first): Houston 5-3 +12.9, Utah State 7-1 +12.6, Oklahoma 7-1 +12.1, Old Dominion 8-1 +10.6, Oregon State 6-2 +10.6

Biggest under teams: (over-under record followed by margin; number of UNDERS listed first): Miss State 6-1 -13.7, Kentucky 6-2 -13.1, Tulsa 7-1 -11.1, Washington 8-1 -9.6, UAB 7-1 -9.1