Joe Duffy’s Picks is rocking! The Red Sox winning 19-3 was our fourth straight Wise Guy winner and makes us 8-1 overall. Four MLB winners, a side and three totals are up. Oh baby with preseason NFL just around the corner, things are about to get even more exciting. Get the picks now
Atlanta-Philly
- Mike Soroka 10-2 2.46, .285 OBP against
- Last 3: 4.08, .372
- Stunning 6-0 road, 1.12 ERA, .237
- Compare to 4.08 and .337
- Phillies Jake Arrieta 5.33 ERA last five starts though just 2 ER last 10.2
- Arrieta .360 OBP against at night compared to 3.96 day, though home road fairly close, though home ERA a bit better
- Braves 2-6 last 8, with .382 slugging percentage last 7
- Phillies won 5-of-6
- Braves 149-141 road since April 15, 2016 +54.6 units and 17.6 ROI
- Phillies 113-213 underdog since May 4 2016 for -54 units and -16.5 ROI
San Francisco-San Diego
- Jeff Samardzija 2.73 ERA last four with .911 WHIP
- Home/road and day/night numbers very close
- Pads Joey Lucchesi among most pronounced splits in MLB
- 2.83 ERA home, .260 OBP against, 1.04 WHIP
- Compare to road where 6.48, .326 and 1.41
- Night numbers also much better than day
- .255 OBP night, compared to .344 day
- Giants 10-1 last 11 despite hitting .224 last 7
- Giants 30-17 last 47 for +21.12 units and 42.9 ROI
- 24-14 road, 20-10 underdogs +17.27 units and 57.5 ROI
- San Diego 53-78 at home since Sept 24, 2017 -29.15 units
- 26-34 favorite -18.15 -22.6 units since Jun 19 of last year
New York Yankees-Boston
- Just 8th time in history a team is road favorites off same-series loss of 15 or more
- 6-1 in history of our database
- NYY James Paxton consistently mediocre though off home game to Colorado
- 3.1 IP 7 runs, 4 earned
- 4.78 road, .365 OBP against
- Boston’s Andrew Cashner 10 ER last 11 IP with 1.636 WHIP
- Home/road splits roughly the same
- Yankees over 40-14 road since Sept 25 of last year
- Boston over 77-48-4 since September 19 of last year
- Though Boston 31-30 at home since September 26 of last year, that’s -18.60 units
The lowest moneylines are at vetted sportsbook Bet Now