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NFL injuries:
- Matt Stafford out for Detroit
- Athletic journeyman Jeff Driskell starts
- Cowboys WR Amari Cooper is probable
- Jets RB Le’Veon Bell is probable
- Colts QB Jacoby Brissett is out
Lions at Bears
- Stafford out as mentioned above
- Revenge angle based on each team playing poorly the week before is 68-28 (Detroit)
- Consecutive road games, team off a loss is 327-237-11 (Detroit)
- Detroit gets 8.1 yards per pass attempt teams normally accumulating 7.4 but allow 7.4 to 7.2
- With Trubisky, Bears can’t exploit that
The pick: Detroit +3.5
Bills at Browns
- When a team is favorite despite having at least four fewer wins than opponent and not getting at least 2.5 points, they are 58-23 ats (Cleveland)
- Anti-splits angle about fading road teams who have been better on road than home team has been at home are 140-101-10 (Cleveland)
- Bad ats team to a good one is 217-137-14
- RB Kareem Hunt makes his debut for Cleveland and expected to play a big role
- Bills “trendy dog” getting 80 percent of bets
The pick: Cleveland -2.5