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Free NCAA Football Picks Against the Spread

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To say the least, the greatest handicapper off all-time Joe Duffy is the hottest. JDP is 48-28 since preseason on NFL. I already nailed easy TNF Total of Year. Now it’s the TNF Game of the Year on Chiefs-Broncos. I am 18-7 college football.  Friday college football side. Saturday 11 college football winners led by two Wise Guys. BONUS: Added Rotation Game of the Year in college football as well.  Sunday, NFL Wise Guy gets us started!  Get the picks now

Here are free picks for this weekend:

Temple at SMU

  • Rested, ranked home teams are 104-74-4 (SMU)
  • SMU 5-1 ats +10.7, 5th best in nation
  • SMU over all six by average of 10.2, 7th best OVER team
  • Teams off triple OT wins 22-17 ATS for 56.4 percent (SMU)
    • Also off bye
  • SMU Shane Buechele is completing 67 percent of his passes this season and he has thrown 12 touchdowns
  • RB Xavier Jones has rushed for 646 yards and 12 scores for Mustangs
  • Temple 2-0 to ranked teams Maryland and Memphis

The pick: Temple +7.5

Arizona at USC

  • USC very competitive in loss to ND, but five starters on defense banged up
  • Arizona is second in the Pac-12 with 103 plays of at least 10 yards, second in plays of at least 20 yards (41), first in plays of at least 30 yards (20) and first in plays of at least 40 yards (15). It also leads in plays of 50, 60 and 70-yard plays. 
  • USC also predictably unpredictable
  • Consider live total, keep betting overadjusted line
  • USC gets 8.2 yards per pass teams normally allowing 6.9 and average 9.5 at home
  • Arizona has one of the more anemic pass rushes in the country with just five total sacks in six games, tied for No. 123 in the nation.
  • Arizona has one of the more anemic pass rushes in the country with just five total sacks in six games, tied for No. 123 in the nation

Pick: OVER 67

Texas A&M at Ole Miss

  • Texas A&M has played one of the toughest schedules in the nation to this point of the season. The Aggies’ three losses have come at the hands of No. 1 Alabama, No. 3 Clemson and No. 11 Auburn
  • Since John Rhys Plumlee took over the starting quarterback position for Ole Miss on Oct. 28, the Rebels have covered the spread in all of his starts
    • Redshirt freshman Matt Corral still will see extensive playing time
  • General rule of thumb: freshman-laden teams improve and are more dangerous at home

The pick: Ole Miss +6.5

WVU at Oklahoma (-33.5, 65)

  • Big favorites in high scoring games are 163-113-12 for 59.1 percent (Oklahoma)
  • Letdown after Texas
  • Second biggest underdog that WVU has ever been
  • WVU short-handed
    • Starting cornerback Hakeem Bailey will miss the first half after getting ejected for targeting
    • Fellow starter Keith Washington was inactive against Iowa State due to a muscle injury that affected his ability to run, so his return against Oklahoma is no guarantee.
    • Starting quarterback Austin Kendall, an OU transfer is questionable
    • Kendall was primarily a backup for two Heisman Trophy winners, completing 28 of 39 passes for three touchdowns in two seasons with the Sooners
    • 66 percent completions, 1247, 9 TDs, but 7 INT
    • Backup Jack Allison 18-of-24 for 140 yards

The pick: Oklahoma -33.5

Boise State at BYU

  • Dogs of 5.5 or more in two-game or more losing streak versus an opponent in a four-game or more winning streak 93-56-4 (BYU)
    • Momentum exception
  • Boise State QB Hank Bachmeier is doubtful
  • Redshirt sophomore Chase Cord finished 12-for-18 passing for a career-high 175 yards and a QB rating of 203.3.
  • Jaylon Henderson was 6-for-10 passing for a career-best 82 yards
  • Boise one of three undefeated non-Power 5 teams
    • Only SMU could leapfrog them but style points still a consideration
  • Significant pressure on Boise State though road game, likely with BU QBs

The pick: BYU +6.5

 

Arizona State at Utah

  • Teams off dominant win 583-414-28 (Utah)
    • Sub-system takes it to 59.1 percent
  • ASU won previous two meetings by combined 38 points
  • Utah QB Tyler Huntley season ended last year against ASU
  • ASU off dramatic win to WSU
  • When the total is substantially less than each team’s previous total, it goes under 391-262-15
    • Utah total 60 last week, ASU 61

The pick: Utah -13.5

 

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