It’s the famed sharp versus square report with data from top sportbooks such as Bovada, Caesars Palace, Hilton, MYBookie and other books offshore and in Vegas. We also have two NBA free picks!
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Baltimore, Detroit, Seattle, New York Giants
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Detroit, Baltimore, Seattle
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Jacksonville
NFL injuries for fantasy football and gambling picks:
- 49ers will likely have the services of TE George Kittle, and WR Emmanuel Sanders and Deebo Samuel
- Patriots QB Tom Brady will start, but WR Mohamed Sanu will be limited as he practiced very little this week
- Seahawks DE Jadeveon Clowney is probable
- Eagles WR Alshon Jeffery probable but Nelson Agholor doubtful, RB Jordan Howard is doubtful
- Howard 525 rushing yards, 6 TDs rushing, 1 receiving
- Jeffrey 34 catches 353 yards
- Redskins RB Adrian Peterson is probable
NFL weather.
High Precipitation
Game | Precip % |
Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots | 66% |
Strong Winds
Game | Wind Speed |
Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns | 15 mph |
Oakland Raiders at New York Jets | 15 mph |
Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles | 15 mph |
Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills | 16 mph |
Detroit Lions at Washington Redskins | 16 mph |
Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy! 13-3 overall from simply the best sports handicapper to ever walk this earth Joe Duffy! I am 15-7 NFL. Sunday NFL Game of the Year and Fox Sports Interconference Game of the Year on Dallas-New England is among four NFL Wise Guys and eight Majors! I mean there is a 72.9 percent angle going back to the 1980s in the Pokes-Pats. Two NBA winners added Get the picks now
NBA
Mavericks at Rockets
Houston -5 with o/u 232
- Houston followed an eight-game win streak with consecutive losses
- Favorites or pick said situation 36-31
- Dallas won four straight but hitting road
- Fade dogs of 5 or more with four or more game winning streaks is 342-244-18
- 67.9 percent when team we are riding has two or more game losing streak
Pick: HOUSTON -5
Pelicans at Clippers
LA -12 with o/u 234
- New Orleans won three straight but fading streaking road dogs of 7 or more is 321-237-9
Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.
Top NFL teams in terms of MOC:
Team | ATS Record | Margin of cover |
Baltimore | 5-5-0 | 9.9 |
San Francisco | 5-4-1 | 9.2 |
New England | 7-3-0 | 7.0 |
Minnesota | 6-5-0 | 3.1 |
Best teams to bet against in terms of MOC
Team | ATS Record | Margin of cover |
Cincinnati | 4-6-0 | -6.5 |
Washington | 3-7-0 | -5.8 |
NY Giants | 3-7-0 | -4.8 |
Miami | 5-5-0 | -4.5 |
Cleveland | 3-6-1 | -3.3 |