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Don Best Odds

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MNF Betting Preview

The NY Giants take on the Atlanta Falcons on Monday Night
Football. Sportsbooks have The
Giants a 4.5 point favorite (as much as five at NewBodog) with a
total of 43.5 to 44.

After an 0-2 straight up and ATS
start, the Giants have won and covered three straight with each of the wins by
a touchdown or more. Meanwhile, Atlanta
is 1-4 SU and all four losses are by six or more.

The Giants are giving up just 4.1 yards per play during
their winning streak. For the year, they allow 5.3 yards per play against teams
normally allowing 5.6. They have been their best against the run allowing 3.6
yards per rush to teams normally getting 4.1.

Actually, the Giants are getting only 4.9 yards per play
during their three game winning streak. This compares
to 5.5 yards per play for the year against teams normally allowing 5.2.

New York offensively
averages a sensational 4.4 yards per rush against teams normally allowing 3.8. Atlanta’s
defense has been respectable allowing 20 points per game to teams normally
getting 20.3 and 5.5 yards per play to teams normally getting 5.5.

Amazingly the road team has won 11 straight outright in
this series, covering the last six. Atlanta
is ravaged by injuries on their offensive line minus both tackles Wayne Gandy
and Todd Weiner. Starting in their place is an undrafted
rookie Renardo Foster and an unproven second year
player Tyson Clabo.

Giants quarterback Eli Manning has won seven straight
October games.

Sports betting trends say that Atlanta
has gone over 15-4 since 1992 to teams with a winning percentage in the .500s. Atlanta
is 15-35 against the spread since 1992 to teams averaging 24 or more points per
game. New York is 32-8 in the
back pocket after getting more than 150 yards rushing last game.

Joey Harrington will start at QB for the Falcons, but he
and is 24-48 career record could be on a short leash as recently signed Byron
Leftwich has had several weeks to learn the offense.

Atlanta can
find solace in knowing the Giants have struggled against receiving tight ends
and they have one of the best in Alge Crumpler.