Free week 8 NFL pick. Line moves, betting intel from sportsbooks, contrarian, pros vs. Joes, sharp bets in both NFL and NBA for Sunday. Top service bet is: All Wise Guys are 1 ET or later. We are 26-10 NFL and that is fresh of spectacular preseason again! Seven NFL at 1 ET or later led by two Wise Guys including NFL Game of the Week. All Wise Guys are 1 ET or later. Nobody has dominated any sport the way Joe Duffy has the NFL for decades. 774-615 all, 65-34 football.  

I am 10-0 in primetime football. SNF included. Get the picks now

NFL:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Washington, New England, Indianapolis, San Francisco (not usual public love of road favorites), Cincinnati; New Orleans OVER, Green Bay OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Green Bay, Houston, San Francisco, Pittsburgh; New Orleans OVER, Green Bay OVER, Indianapolis OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Buffalo, Green Bay; Indianapolis OVER, Green Bay OVER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Minnesota opened -2.5 to +2, Chicago -6 to -9, Carolina P to +2.5, Cincinnati -4 to -6. This is probably as many moves of at least two points that you will see in the NFL.

NBA:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Golden State; Golden State OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Golden State, Washington; Golden State OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Washington; Golden State OVER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none

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Free pick NFL from Joe Duffy’s Picks:

NY JETS +8 Chicago

Regression to the mean angle based on turnovers, winning percentage and other factors is 512-384.