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It’s opening night of college football season 2023 and we have ATS trends and over-unders up. All records ATS unless otherwise noted.
Week 0 College Football Betting Trends 2023
Hawaii 9-1 fieldturf, but 3-7 outside conference
Vanderbilt 6-20 home
Vanderbilt over six straight outside conference
San Jose State on 0-7 skid
USC over 8 straight overall, 13-3 at home
FIU 7-20 inside conference
LA Tech 5-0 home
LA Tech over 17-7 road
Best College Football Sports Service
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The Home Run Derby goes down Monday night ahead of next week’s MLB All-Star Game, and the reigning champ is favored to repeat.
SportsBetting not only has odds for the Derby champion, but also who will hit the most/least home runs in Round 1, the longest home run, total HRs hit and more. Joe Duffy will have expert picks on these at OffshoreInsiders.com
Additionally, there are head-to-head matchups available for Round 1.
The American League is listed as a slight, -125 favorite for the All-Star Game itself, while the NL comes back as a +115 underdog.
If you are able to use this information, please consider citing the source.
The annual ESPYS show is set for Monday, July 12, and fans have been voting over the past week to help decide which athletes will take home honors for 22 categories.
SportsBettinghas created odds for the 10 most notable categories, and the projections range from heavy favorites to tossups to wide-open races.
For the top golfer in 2023, Jon Rahm is the odds-on favorite at -250. This year, Rahm has a major championship under his belt (Masters Tournament), as well as three other victories and 10 Top 10s in total.
Below, you will find the ESPY odds for “Best Golfer” and nine other categories.
Best Golfer
Jon Rahm -250
Scottie Scheffler +500
Nelly Korda +700
Wyndham Clark +900
Best Athlete: Men’s Sports
Patrick Mahomes +120
Aaron Judge +250
Nikola Jokic +400
Lionel Messi +500
Best Athlete: Women’s Sports
Iga Swiatek +180
A’ja Wilson +225
Sophia Smith +300
Mikaela Shriffrin +425
Best Play
Justin Jefferson +180
Michael Block +250
Trinity Thomas +300
Ally Lemos +400
Best Record-Breaking Performance
LeBron James -380
Novak Djokovic +700
Mikaela Shriffrin +900
Max Verstappen +1000
Best MLB Player
Aaron Judge +120
Shohei Ohtani +120
Paul Goldschmidt +850
Justin Verlander +1000
Best NBA Player
Nikola Jokic -300
Jimmy Butler +650
Joel Embiid +650
Jayson Tatum +1000
Best NFL Player
Patrick Mahomes -300
Jalen Hurts +550
Justin Jefferson +800
Nick Bosa +1000
Best NHL Player
Conor McDavid -500
Jonathan Marchessault +700
Linus Ullmark +1000
David Pastrnak +1600
Best Soccer Player
Erling Haaland +190
Lionel Messi +220
Aitana Bonmati +300
Sophia Smith +400
Joe Duffy is widely accepted as the top college and pro football handicapper in history, hands down. His bets are exclusively on OffshoreInsiders.com handicapping network.
Inspired by Billy Walters and the Vegas Computer Boys, Joe Duffy has been for decades the top data scientist in sports handicapping. Spectacular anti-splits angle that wins in every sport, some great computer sim bets part of 5-0 sweep led by a Wise Guy. Winners at OffshoreInsiders.com
Free winner from Joe Duffy is:
ATLANTA (SMITH-SHAWVER -146) Cincinnati (Weaver)
Away favorites to teams with at least an eight-game winning streak are 30-12 for +15.60 units and a 29.3 ROI. It also crushes on the runline. The ROI is even better at -130 or more. Luke Weaver has been atrocious for the Reds with a 10.12 ERA last three starts and 2.174 WHIP. A viral system says to go with non-divisional away favorites. We’ve excluded Saturdays as it is the best day for home teams. Since 2018 away interdivisional favorites are up 143.54 units.
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Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.
MLB
Major
OAKLAND (WALDICHUK +1.5 -105) Cleveland (Civale)
Yes, play stands with new Oakland pitcher.
One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 60 percent compared to the implied probability of the line at 51.22 percent making this great value.
SAN FRANCISCO (DESCLAFANI -110) San Diego (Lugo)
Taking advantage of oddsmaker same series adjustments is up almost 800 units. As is the case with many of our best systems, we take the oddsmakers knowledge and weaponize it against them. San Francisco wins an impressive 62 percent of simulations on our top computer model.
NY Yankees-Seattle UNDER 7 (Cole-Kirby)
When the total is much less than the season to date average of at least one of the teams, it goes under at a rate of 6162-5253-595.
NY Mets-Houston UNDER 7.5 (Verlander-Valdez)
When the total is much less than the season to date average of at least one of the teams, it goes under at a rate of 6162-5253-595.
Last year’s Super Bowl opponents the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles are virtual co-favorites to win Super Bowl LVIII. The Chiefs are +600 to repeat, while the Eagles are +650. Last year’s favorite Buffalo is next at +900 or 9-1 tied with the 49ers and their deep QB depth chart.
My pick CINCINNATI +1200: Cincinnati overcame the predictable Super Bowl hangover from the previous season, winning eight straight to end the regular season. Clearly Joe Burrow has proven he is a big-time player in both college and the NFL. Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd give the franchise signal caller some serious weapons. They are strong enough on defense. Cincy wins in February.
The first major domino of the NBA offseason fell last night as Bradley Beal was traded to the Phoenix Suns.
Of course, that move had an impact on next year’s championship odds, as well as “next team” odds for all of the other players reportedly on the trading block.
SportsBetting has updated its trade odds for Damian Lillard, DeAndre Ayton, Karl-Anthony Towns, Trae Young, Zach LaVine and Zion Williamson, where the Suns have been removed from some of the players’ candidates.
The Suns’ title odds for next year moved from +900 to +700 immediately after the Beal news broke. This morning, Phoenix has moved even further up the board and now has +650 odds.
Oddsmakers deem the college football national championship race will be more competitive than in recent seasons thanks to the return to eminence of historic powers. Two conferences, the SEC and Big Ten possess the top four spots. Two-time defending national champion Georgia is the favorite at +250, followed by conference rival Alabama at +550. Ohio State, who took Georgia down to the final play in the national semi-finals is next at +700. The team that has defeated the Buckeyes in consecutive seasons, Michigan is next at +900.
Bovada declares USC is back thanks to the Oklahoma twosome of coach Lincoln Riley and Heisman Trophy winner Caleb Williams. The Trojans also made a splash by adding quarterback whisperer Kliff Kingsbury as their new QB coach. Southern Cal is next at +1200. While Clemson is no longer the annual virtual co-favorites with Alabama, they are strong contenders at +1800.
Will Brian Kelly become the fourth straight LSU coach to win a natty? The Tigers are +1600 to do so this season. Traditional powers Texas, Tennessee, Florida State, and Penn State all are returning to relevance with odds at 20-1 or less.
Texas A&M +4500: Texas A&M has had some great recruiting years but was a total bust last year. Jimbo Fisher won a national title at Florida State and brought in long-time coach Bobby Petrino to jumpstart the offense. Petrino is a terrible human being, but he knows how to coach. Conner Weigman is a strong QB. Look for Fisher’s recruiting to finally pay dividends.
Wisconsin +5500: Luke Fickell has been atop of a lot of coaching wish lists the past two years and he landed in Madison. He dominated the transfer portal, adding depth on both sides of the ball. The defense is top shelf, the offense will be both more aggressive and talented.
Grandmaster Joe Duffy goes 3-1 last night, including MLB sweep. Stanley Cup side, MLB runline and 3 MLB totalsincluding a totals system winning again this season at OffshoreInsiders.com
TAMPA (BEEKS -1.5 -125) Oakland (Harris) at Bovada
A viral system says to go with non-divisional away favorites. We’ve excluded Saturdays as it is the best day for home teams. Since 2018 away interdivisional favorites are +130.11 units, winning on both run and moneylines. Massive favorites on runline +105.09 for 5.1 ROI. Combo angle is 12.5 ROI and is up this year. Yes Jalen Beeks has been pretty bad, but Hogan Harris isn’t exactly a good pitcher. Massive away favorites against red-hot teams are +36.4 ROI on runline.
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