Jerry Jones immediately backed Mike McCarthy after last night’s loss, but Jerry has been known to change his mind on occasion. 

If McCarthy is ultimately removed as head coach of the Cowboys, the oddsmakers at SportsBetting  only see three realistic options as his replacement. 

The favorite would be a “Prodigal Son” story, with Sean Payton coming back to Big D where he led the offense for three seasons.

Of course, Payton looks to be the favorite to fill the opening in Denver (head coach vacancy odds will be updated on this page later today or early Tuesday), so it makes sense that coordinators Dan Quinn and Kellen Moore are second and third, respectively, on the Cowboys coach list.

Additionally, Brett Maher is a solid favorite to be back with the ‘Boys next season, and the team is favored to reach the playoffs again. 

In other NFC East news, Saquon Barkley heads into the offseason as a UFA. If he doesn’t end up being “a Giant for life,” then the Ravens and Bills are frontrunners for his services, according to the numbers below.

Cowboys head coach in Week 1            

Sean Payton                  +140

Dan Quinn                    +175

Kellen Moore                +210

Jim Harbaugh                +1400

Shane Steichen             +2500

Saquon Barkley next team                    

Baltimore Ravens          +400

Buffalo Bills                  +425

Denver Broncos            +500

New York Jets               +600

New England Patriots    +700

Dallas Cowboys             +750

Kansas City Chiefs         +800

Carolina Panthers          +900

New Orleans Saints       +900

Chicago Bears               +1000

Seattle Seahawks          +1000

Arizona Cardinals          +1400

Will Brett Maher be on Cowboys roster in Week 1                    

Yes                   -300

No                    +200

Will the Cowboys make the playoffs next season?                     

Yes                   -200

No                    +150

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Wednesday, January 11 betting splits. 

Tonight’s NBA basketball betting breakdown.

🏀 Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Milwaukee, Minnesota; Phoenix OVER 

🏀 Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Washington; New York UNDER

🏀 Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Detroit, Washington; Atlanta UNDER

🏀 Largest line moves, opener to current: Milwaukee -1 to -5

Tonight’s college basketball betting breakdown.

🏀 Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Monmouth, USC Upstate, Furman

🏀 Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Central Florida, Colgate, Chicago State, MTSU 

🏀 Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Hampton 

🏀 Largest line moves, opener to current: none 

Best College Basketball Handicapper 

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

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Free NBA pick from Joe Duffy’s picks of OffshoreInsiders.com and it comes from the NBA. Duffy is the top sports handicapper on earth and has been since 1988 on the scorephones. 

San Antonio-Memphis OVER 238

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The over version goes over at a rate of 1615-1233-124. Another based on offensive numbers of each team goes over 565-427. 

Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy’s Picks. Big day fellow gamblers. Wise Guy bets (sides) in both college and NBA. Five college, two NBA in all. Simply put, I have been winning for more than 34 years publicly. If you want the best, you will hop on board at OffshoreInsiders.com

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First the best teams to bet on based on margin of cover. 

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
Oklahoma City	25-16	3.4
New Orleans	21-20	2.6
Indiana	26-16	2.4

Notes: OKC and Indiana tied for best spread record based on winning percentage. 

Now the best teams to fade based on ATS margin.

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
Golden State	18-22-1	-3.6
Milwaukee	21-17	-2.6
Dallas	14-26-2	-2.5
Atlanta	16-23-2	-2.5
Miami	16-24-2	-2

Notes: that is not a typo. Milwaukee is four games above .500 ATS but has the second worst sweat barometer in the NBA. Dallas has the worst spread record based on winning percentage followed by Atlanta, Miami, and Houston.  

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often-deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

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There are currently five coaching vacancies in the NFL, and one polarizing college coach who could finally make his return to the league.

Jim Harbaugh, not Jeff Saturday, is favored to be coaching Indianapolis in Week 1 next season. Of course, Harbaugh spent much of his pro playing career with the Colts.

Remaining with Michigan is a close second on Harb’s job list, while the Rams and Broncos are also very close in terms of the numbers.

SportsBetting  also has odds for the next Broncos, Cardinals, Panthers and Texans head coaches. 

There are at least 15 names on each list, candidates will be added and removed daily and the odds will be volatile so check back for the latest updates.

NFL head coach are updated daily on SportsBetting. Best sports picks are on OffshoreInsiders.com     

Jim Harbaugh Team in Week 1 of 2023              

Colts                             +200

Michigan Wolverines     +225

Rams                            +250

Broncos                        +275

Panthers                       +900

Cardinals                      +1000

Any Other NCAA Team  +1200

Texans                          +2000

Broncos Next Head Coach                     

Dan Quinn                    +200

Jim Harbaugh                +275

Sean Payton                  +300

DeMeco Ryans              +750

Raheem Morris             +1000

Darrell Bevell                +1200

Shane Steichen             +1400

Ben Johnson                 +2000

Eljiro Evero                   +2000

Frank Reich                   +2000

Jonathan Gannon          +2200

Leslie Frazier                 +2500

Brian Flores                  +3300

Eric Bieniemy                +3300

Kellen Moore                +3300

Byron Leftwich              +4000

Jim Caldwell                  +5000

Gary Kubiak                  +10000

Bill Cowher                   +12500

Peyton Manning           +12500

John Elway                    +15000

Shannon Sharpe            +15000

Mike Shanahan             +25000

Pete Carroll                  +25000

Cardinals Next Head Coach                   

Sean Payton                  +250

Vance Joseph                +700

Shane Steichen             +750

Demeco Ryans              +1000

Jim Harbaugh                +1000

Ben Johnson                 +1200

Byron Leftwich              +1200

Dan Quinn                    +1200

Eric Bieniemy                +1200

Brian Johnson               +1600

Jonathan Gannon          +2000

Kellen Moore                +2000

Ken Dorsey                   +2000

Aaron Glenn                 +2200

Raheem Morris             +2200

Darrell Bevell                +2500

Leslie Frazier                 +2500

Mike Kafka                   +2500

Frank Reich                   +2800

Jason Garrett                +3300

Kurt Warner                 +10000

Larry Fitzgerald             +15000

JJ Watt                         +20000

Colts Next Head Coach              

Jim Harbaugh                +200

Dan Quinn                    +600

Kellen Moore                +800

Aaron Glenn                 +900

Ben Johnson                 +900

Sean Payton                  +900

Leslie Frazier                 +1000

DeMeco Ryans              +1200

Jeff Saturday                 +1200

Raheem Morris             +1200

Shane Steichen             +1200

Eric Bieniemy                +2000

Mike Kafka                   +2000

Brian Flores                  +2500

Darrell Bevell                +2500

Byron Leftwich              +3300

Peyton Manning           +5000

Panthers Next Head Coach                    

Ben Johnson                 +500

Steve Wilks                   +525

Shane Steichen             +550

Jim Caldwell                  +700

Frank Reich                   +800

Ken Dorsey                   +800

Dan Quinn                    +900

Jim Harbaugh                +900

Brian Flores                  +1400

DeMeco Ryans              +1400

Leslie Frazier                 +1600

Darrell Bevell                +2000

Eric Bieniemy                +2000

Sean Payton                  +2000

Bill O’Brien                   +2500

Byron Leftwich              +2500

Kellen Moore                +2500

Raheem Morris             +3300

Texans Next Head Coach                       

Kliff Kingsbury               +400

Eric Bieniemy                +500

Jerod Mayo                   +500

Shane Steichen             +700

Demeco Ryans              +750

Brian Schottenheimer   +900

Frank Reich                   +1000

Joe Brady                      +1000

Jonathan Gannon          +1000

Raheem Morris             +1400

Dan Quinn                    +1600

Jim Harbaugh                +2000

Leslie Frazier                 +2000

Sean Payton                  +2000

Byron Leftwich              +2500

Jim Caldwell                  +2500

JJ Watt                         +10000

Georgia and TCU will play for this season’s college football championship tonight, but the Horned Frogs aren’t considered one of the favorites to get back to this spot next year.

SportsBetting opened up early 2024 CFP Championship odds Monday. The usual suspects lead the pack, then there is a sizable gap between those three and the rest of the teams.

TCU is well down the list at 25-1. Don’t forget, the Frogs started this season with 250-1 odds.

2024 CFP Championship odds will be updated in real-time on this page:

Best college football handicappers are on OffshoreInsiders.com     

2024 CFP Championship

Georgia            3-1

Alabama           4-1

Ohio State        6-1

Michigan          12-1

Notre Dame      14-1

Penn State        18-1

Texas                18-1

Clemson           25-1

TCU                  25-1

Utah                 28-1

USC                  33-1

Kansas State     40-1

LSU                  40-1

Oklahoma         40-1

Miami              50-1

Oregon             50-1

Oregon State    50-1

Tennessee        50-1

Texas A&M       50-1

UCLA                50-1

Wisconsin         50-1

Florida State     60-1

NC State           60-1

Washington      66-1

Florida              75-1

Auburn             100-1

Iowa                 100-1

Kentucky          100-1

Mississippi State100-1

Missouri           100-1

North Carolina  100-1

Oklahoma State 100-1

Ole Miss           100-1

Purdue             100-1

South Carolina  100-1

Tulane              100-1

Arkansas           150-1

Michigan State  150-1

Illinois              200-1

Indiana             200-1

Minnesota        200-1

The scenes from Lambeau last night painted a picture that Aaron Rodgers could’ve played his last game as a member of the Green Bay Packers.

If Rodgers doesn’t retire, as some think he will, where might he end up next season?

SportsBetting  re-opened odds for Rodgers next team, if not the Packers. Additionally, the odds of him retiring have flipped from very likely to the underdog.

Updated odds for the Jets and Raiders next quarterbacks, as well as Derek Carr’s next club, are available below.

The Houston Texans cost themselves the No. 1 overall pick in this summer’s NFL Draft, so there are updated odds on who the Chicago Bears might select, or if they’ll trade out of the top spot.

Finally, this year’s Super Bowl odds are tighter than any we’ve seen in the last few years with four teams with better than 6-1 odds. You can find those, the conference odds and an early Super Bowl LVII spread below.

For NFL playoff winners, you must bet with the Grandmaster, Joe Duffy at OffshoreInsiders.com     

Will Aaron Rodgers announce retirement before Week 1 of next season?

Yes +170

No -250

Aaron Rodgers Next Team                    

Raiders             4-1

Colts                 5-1

Jets                  5-1

Panthers           7-1

Patriots            7-1

49ers                8-1

Saints               9-1

Commanders    9-1

Falcons             10-1

Buccaneers       12-1

Titans               14-1

Giants              33-1

Lions                33-1

Texans              33-1

Cardinals          50-1

Derek Carr Next Team              

Jets                  5-2

Colts                 3-1

Commanders    9-1

Packers             9-1

Saints               9-1

Bucs                 10-1

Panthers           10-1

Titans               10-1

Falcons             11-1

Patriots            16-1

Texans              16-1

Cardinals                      33-1

Jets Starting QB Week 1                        

Derek Carr                    3-1

Jimmy Garoppolo          4-1

Aaron Rodgers              5-1

Mike White                   5-1

Lamar Jackson              7-1

Zach Wilson                  10-1

Bryce Young                  16-1

CJ Stroud                      16-1

Will Levis                      16-1

Tom Brady                    20-1

Baker Mayfield             33-1

Joe Flacco                     50-1

Raiders Starting QB Week 1                  

Tom Brady                    3-1

Jimmy Garoppolo          4-1

Aaron Rodgers              6-1

Anthony Richardson      9-1

CJ Stroud                      10-1

Jarrett Stidham             10-1

Will Levis                      10-1

Bryce Young                  11-1

Lamar Jackson              12-1

Matt Ryan                    12-1

Baker Mayfield             14-1

Early Super Bowl Spread

AFC -3

NFC +3

Super Bowl LVII            

Kansas City Chiefs                     +340

Buffalo Bills                              +410

San Francisco 49ers                   +475

Philadelphia Eagles                   +550

Cincinnati Bengals                     +750

Dallas Cowboys                         +1400

Tampa Bay Buccaneers              +2000

Los Angeles Chargers                +2200

Minnesota Vikings                     +3300

Baltimore Ravens                      +4000

Jacksonville Jaguars                   +4000

Miami Dolphins                         +5000

New York Giants                       +6000

Seattle Seahawks                      +6600

AFC                  

Kansas City Chiefs                     +175

Buffalo Bills                              +210

Cincinnati Bengals                     +425

Los Angeles Chargers                +1000

Jacksonville Jaguars                   +1800

Baltimore Ravens                      +2000

Miami Dolphins                         +2500

NFC                  

San Francisco 49ers                   +165

Philadelphia Eagles                   +175

Dallas Cowboys                         +650

Tampa Bay Buccaneers              +900

Minnesota Vikings                     +1400

New York Giants                       +2800

Seattle Seahawks                      +2800

Will the Chicago Bears trade top pick?

Yes +200

No -300

No. 1 Overall Draft Pick

Will Anderson               +140

Bryce Young                  +150

Jalen Carter                  +550

CJ Stroud                      +600

Will Levis                      +1000

This is the type of intel you get every day on Joe Duffy’s Picks. Advanced analytics, not somebody trying to outsmart the room, pulling bullshit “intangibles” out of their ass. But bias-free, bullshit-free computer systems that do literally thousands of manhours of work. It’s all at OffshoreInsiders.com     

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet. 

CBB

Major

MICHIGAN -3.5 Penn State

Bet on a team off a large margin of cover against a team that has played in high scoring games recently is an impressive 38-17-1. Yes, not as great of a sample size as most of our angles but has held up for years. Because college sports are more about momentum and the latter part of the angle says points can be had, it fits into many betting observations about college basketball we have won with. 

PROVIDENCE +6.5 Connecticut

Bubble burst angle that has to do with fading teams off devastating losses is 104-66-2. 

RHODE ISLAND -2 Fordham 

Bubble burst angle that has to do with fading teams off devastating losses is 104-66-2. 

NBA

Wise Guy

ATLANTA +2 Sacramento

Fade unrested home teams off a win under specific situations that apply in this game is a stunning 102-40-1. 

Atlanta is the second worst team in the NBA based on ATS margin. They are 14-22-1 ATS failing to cover by an average of -2.5 points per game. But pro sports are about regression to the mean. Going with bad road teams with inferior spread margins is 92-48. 

Phoenix-Cleveland UNDER 218.5

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version that takes into account home/road splits goes under at a rate of 665-431-48. Total relative to recent numbers goes under 665-431-48. 

This is a basic theory that crosses over all sports and makes you and me a fortune in totals betting and each sports involves samples sizes of several thousand games. 

Houston-New Orleans UNDER 229

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version that takes into account home/road splits goes under at a rate of 665-431-48. Total relative to recent numbers goes under 665-431-48. 

This is a basic theory that crosses over all sports and makes you and me a fortune in totals betting and each sports involves samples sizes of several thousand games.

Looking ahead to next season, there are more quarterback question marks throughout the NFL than we’ve seen in quite some time. 

Many are expecting a few league vets to hang up the cleats, and there could be a some current starters leading different teams in 2023.

SportsBetting has set odds on the speculation with props on who will retire first between Matt Ryan, Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers and Matthew Stafford, as well as which QBs will be on new teams.

Additionally, there is a fun Brady-Belichick prop on the board as well.

What will happen first?            

Brady Retires                -130

Brady Signs w/Patriots  +175

Belichick Retires            +350

What will happen first?            

Matt Ryan Retires         -125

Tom Brady Retires         +200

Aaron Rodgers Retires   +350

Matt Stafford Retires    +1000

Which QB will be on a new team in Week 1 of 2023 regular season?                 

Gardner Minshew         -200

Matt Ryan                    -200

Jimmy Garoppolo          -175

Baker Mayfield             -140

Tom Brady                    +100

Carson Wentz               +125

Derek Carr                    +125

Taylor Heinecke            +150

Aaron Rodgers              +300

Lamar Jackson              +600

Daniel Jones                 +700

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After becoming the only player in NBA history to score 60 or more points and tally a triple-double, Luka Doncic is now the MVP favorite, at least according to one bookmaker.

The majority of the betting markets still have Tatum as the favorite, as he has held that position for about a month, but SportsBetting  moved Doncic to the front spot Wednesday morning.

“I’ve been saying for two weeks that Doncic should be the MVP favorite by a solid margin, but we have to respect our positions as well as the market,” Martin Lindbergh, Head NBA Trader at the website, said. “Without Tatum, the Celtics are still a very good team. Without Luka, the Mavericks join the other Texas teams as the worst in the West.”

The Mavs have -450 odds to make the playoffs this season. They are listed at +3300 to take home an NBA Championship and +1600 for the Western Conference.

NBA MVP Odds

Luka Doncic                  +270

Jayson Tatum                +275

Nikola Jokic                   +375

G. Antetokounmpo       +500

Kevin Durant                 +1000

Joel Embiid                   +1100

Ja Morant                     +3300

Devin Booker                +4000

Zion Williamson            +4000

Donovan Mitchell          +4500

Steph Curry                  +5000

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