Some angles and trends for Sunday, August 7 betting from OffshoreInsiders.com
A viral system says to go with non-divisional away favorites. We’ve excluded Saturdays as it is the best day for home teams. Since 2018 away interdivisional favorites are +115.63 moneyline 5.3 ROI, +111.99 runline 7.0 ROI. Today: TB, Bos, Tor, NYY, CWS, SF
🔥Angels 3-15 this year -16.6 units after allowing 3 or fewer runs in consecutive games
🔥Astros under 30-10 day games this year
🔥LA Dodgers 10-0 runline +11.9 units lately versus opponent with a batting average of .245 or worse
🔥O’s 50-18 runline this year +31.4 units with total 8.5-10
🔥Twins 51-84 runline at home -31.18 units
🔥Kevin Gausman 1-13 this year -14.6 units to AL team batting average of .255 or worse
🔥Mariners 124-92 with total 7-9 +40.17 units
Joe Duffy flat out told you yesterday was one of the strongest portfolios in years and I went 4-1 with two massive dog winners. I am 12-4 lately including three Juicy Lucy winners. Juicy Lucies are either moneyline dogs or runline favorites in which we get at last 140. Of course, I’m 2-0 in NFL. NL Game of the Year, Juicy Lucy are Wise Guy winners, plus two Majors. Get the picks now
Mason Rudolph isn’t even in the discussion for starting quarterback of the Pittsburgh Steelers, at least according to Vegas.
SportsBetting updated its QB battle odds for the four camp competitions Friday morning, and there aren’t a ton of surprises.
Mitch Trubisky is favored to take the reins in Pittsburgh, veteran Geno Smith has the leg up over Drew Luck in Seattle while Baker Mayfield and Marcus Mariota are heavy favorites in Carolina and Atlanta, respectively.
Steelers starting QB in Week 1
Mitchell Trubisky -250
Kenny Pickett +170
Seahawks starting QB in Week 1
Geno Smith -175
Drew Lock +135
Panthers starting QB in Week 1
Baker Mayfield -1500
Sam Darnold +600
Falcons starting QB in Week 1
Marcus Mariota -1200
Desmond Ridder +550
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It was an intangibles orgy as your NFL Specialist sweeps. One coach literally said he didn’t want to go undefeated in the preseason, the other called it surreal to be returning to a stadium where he played football in high school. Already 2-0 to star the preseason. Here is what pro gamblers got from Joe Duffy’s Picks
Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.
NFL
Major
LAS VEGAS -2.5 Jaguars
It is as close as I have seen a coach basically say he wants to get a loss out of the way. Jags HC Doug Peterson said he does not want to go 4-0 in the preseason. He went 4-0 SU in 2016, 7-9 regular season. In 2017, 1-3 NFLX, then won the Super Bowl. Raiders coach Josh McDaniels played HS football in this stadium and described his return as surreal. One can understand if the game means more to him.
Jags starting QB Luton has 6 interceptions and only 2 TDs in regular season play with a horrid 54.5 rating. Kyle Sloter will follow behind center. Yes, they have every chance to prove themselves, but right now it appears to be an ugly battle for the No. 3 QB.
Both of our contrarian indexes, one worldwide sportsbooks, the other has to do with super-square outlaw money, has this as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. The Jags are a public dog and public dogs die slow deaths.
Jacksonville-Las Vegas OVER 30.5
Our official outlaw line is 33.5. The outlaw line is what the line would be without square moves. With a low total, three points is significant. Yes, preseason games are low scoring, more so HOF. But it can still be low scoring and go over. Also, we expect Jacksonville to see what Luton has. So a decent amount of passing for a Hall-of-Fame game is expected.
NFL season is here. There are MLB winnings to be had. Here is what you need to know!
NFL preseason primer from Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com
Canton native, Raiders HC Josh McDaniels describes playing in his hometown as surreal. Retired journeyman tout OC Dooley argues this is a big intangible and motivation for Vegas to win.
Jags may get some motivation from the fact they will have their first ever HOF inductee Tony Boselli.
Jags will start 3rd string QB Jake Luton, who will get the bulk of snaps. Starter Trevor Lawrence will be held out and backup CJ Beathard is out with an injury in the penile area. Jags highly touted RB Travis Etiene, who missed his rookie season, is also out. Jags starting QB Luton has 6 interceptions and only 2 TDs in regular season play with a horrid 54.5 rating.Kyle Sloter will follow behind center.
Jags HC Doug Peterson said two years ago “Maybe I’m superstitious, but I really don’t like being 4-0 in the preseason.” He went 4-0 SU in 2016, 7-9 regular season. In ’17, 1-3 NFLX, then won the Super Bowl.
Jarrett Stidham and Nick Mullens will get most of the work for Oakland at QB.
Jaguars-Raiders (-2.5, 30.5)
🏈Opened Las Vegas -1.5, 33.5
🏈Side: 70% bets, 78% money on Jags
🏈OU: 67% bets, 58% money on UNDER
Top expert pick is Joe Duffy’s Picks: Entire card 3:45 ET or later.All but one winner at 7:40 ET or later. You knew it was going to happen. JDP had a rare and short-lived slump. We stayed the course and as always, the books are getting paid back and then some. Winning night three in a row was 5-1 including a sweep with Wise Guys thanks to underdog Phillies and Rays.
I have been giving you winners professionally since the scorephone days of 1988. This is rare case where your NFL Specialist has side and total on the Hall-of-Fame game. Lock into the full-season pick pack.
MLB
A viral system says to go with non-divisional away favorites. We’ve excluded Saturdays as it is the best day for home teams. Since 2018 away interdivisional favorites are +114.28 5.3 ROI on moneyline. Runline is +110.29 and 7 ROI. Today it favors Houston, Tampa, White Sox, Boston.
Free pick:
LA DODGERS (KERSHAW -1.5 -128) San Francisco (Junis)
Taking advantage of oddsmaker same series adjustments is up 757.64 units. As is the case with many of our best systems, we take the oddsmakers knowledge and weaponize it against them. When oddsmakers tell you a team has their best chance to win in recent play, we turn that knowledge against them with a system that is enormously profitable on both run and money lines. It is up 380.94. Combining the two, the ROI is 9.1 up 247.24. Kershaw’s day numbers are 1.79 ERA and .868 WHIP. Kershaw has a lifetime 1.97 ERA and .899 WHIP.
You knew it was going to happen. JDP had a rare and short-lived slump. We stayed the course and as always, the books are getting paid back and then some. Winning night three in a row was 5-1 including a sweep with Wise Guys thanks to underdog Phillies and Rays. Hop on now because we have the Hall-of-Fame game side and total and a full-season NFL only package at OffshoreInsiders.com
Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.
MLB
Wise Guy
TAMPA (BEEKS +103) Toronto (Kikuchi)
Taking advantage of oddsmaker same series adjustments is up 755.56. As is the case with many of our best systems, we take the oddsmakers knowledge and weaponize it against them. An angle about previous head-to-head meeting even if not part of the same series is up 197.87 and 13.3 ROI. Yes, these angles are in a mini-slump as will happen. Hence so are we, but you saw the last two nights why we stay the course with proven winners during short skids.
PHILADELPHIA (WHEELER +122) Atlanta (Morton)
Taking advantage of oddsmaker same series adjustments is up 755.56. As is the case with many of our best systems, we take the oddsmakers knowledge and weaponize it against them. An angle about previous head-to-head meeting even if not part of the same series is up 197.87 and 13.3 ROI. Yes, these angles are in a mini-slump as will happen. Hence so are we, but you saw the last two nights why we stay the course with proven winners during short skids.
Major
LA Dodgers-San Francisco UNDER 7.5 (Urias-Cobb)
Total relative to recent numbers goes under 3346-2615. This is a basic theory that crosses over all sports and makes you and me a fortune in totals betting and each sports involves samples sizes of several thousand games. Starter with a total less than any recent starts, again listen to what the oddsmakers are telling us because it goes under 3378-2624. Combo angle is 2192-1741. Yes, these angles are in a mini-slump as will happen. Hence so are we, but you saw the last two nights why we stay the course with proven winners during short skids.
Atlanta-Philadelphia UNDER 7.5 (Wheeler-Morton)
Total relative to recent numbers goes under 3346-2615. This is a basic theory that crosses over all sports and makes you and me a fortune in totals betting and each sports involves samples sizes of several thousand games. Starter with a total less than any recent starts, again listen to what the oddsmakers are telling us because it goes under 3378-2624. Combo angle is 2192-1741.
Oakland-LA Angels UNDER 7 (Kapriellen-Ohtani)
Total relative to recent numbers goes under 3346-2615. This is a basic theory that crosses over all sports and makes you and me a fortune in totals betting and each sports involves samples sizes of several thousand games. Starter with a total less than any recent starts, again listen to what the oddsmakers are telling us because it goes under 3378-2624. Combo angle is 2192-1741.
Cubs-St. Louis UNDER 8 (Steele-Mikolas)
Total relative to recent numbers goes under 3346-2615. This is a basic theory that crosses over all sports and makes you and me a fortune in totals betting and each sports involves samples sizes of several thousand games. An angle that compares current total to season average comes up with an incredible system that goes under 2192-1741. Combo goes under 1255-893.
KANSAS CITY (SINGER +132) White Sox (Lynn)
An angle about previous head-to-head meeting even if not part of the same series is up 197.87 and 13.3 ROI. When oddsmakers tell you a team has their best chance to win in recent play, we turn that knowledge against them with a system that is enormously profitable on both run and money lines. It is up 377.44 units.
The reigning Super Bowl champs reside in the NFC West, and the division looks to be a formidable one, at least outside of a rebuilding Seattle squad.
SportsBetting continues to roll out weekly spreads for each team of every division. In the sixth week, we take a look at the 49ers, Cardinals, Rams and Seahawks.
Beyond the week-by-week spreads, below you can see each team’s Super Bowl, conference and division odds. There are also the latest victory totals and playoff chances.
Please note that Week 17 and Week 18 spreads are not available below due to uncertainty in playoff standings, playing statuses, schedules, etc.
Joe Duffy is widely accepted as the top college and pro football handicapper in history, hands down. His bets are exclusively on OffshoreInsiders.com handicapping network.
Week 1
49ers at Bears (+6)
Broncos at Seahawks (+5)
Chiefs at Cardinals (+3)
Bills at Rams (+1.5) original line was Rams -1
Week 2
Seahawks at 49ers (-9)
Falcons at Rams (-13)
Cardinals at Raiders (-2.5)
Week 3
Falcons at Seahawks (-5)
49ers at Broncos (-1.5)
Rams at Cardinals (+1)
Week 4
Cardinals at Panthers (+2.5)
Seahawks at Lions (-2.5) original line was Lions +1.5
Juan Soto, Josh Bell and Josh Hader will be in sunny San Diego soon, and those three were enough to move the Padres into the fifth spot on the World Series odds board.
SportsBetting updated its MLB title odds following the trade. The Padres had +2000 odds (20-1) prior to the trade but are now listed at +850, just behind the Mets.
Padres’ World Series odds before Soto/Bell/Hader: +2000
Padres’ World Series odds after Soto/Bell/Hader: +850
If you are able to use this information, please consider citing the source.
The Browns probably feel like they dodged a bullet following the news that Deshaun Watson will only be suspended for the first six games of the season.
However, the NFL, which had pushed for a 12-month to one-year suspension, has the ability to appeal the decision by disciplinary officer Sue L. Robinson.
SportsBetting believes the league will exercise its right to appeal, and ultimately, get a longer suspension for Watson.
Will Deshaun Watson’s six-game suspension be increased?
Yes -140
No +100
Watson’s suspension had a positive impact on the Browns futures odds. Here’s that breakdown:
Super Bowl Odds: 33-1 to 18-1
AFC: 18-1 to 10-1
AFC North: 4-1 to 2-1 (Baltimore still favored at +175)
Aaron Judge became the first man in pinstripes to reach the 40-home run mark before August since Roger Maris did during his historic 1961 season
Back on June 27, after Judge had blasted another walkoff homer, the oddsmakers gave him just a 20% chance of besting Maris’ mark of 61 (odds were Yes +400 and No -700).
SportsBetting has reset the numbers now that Judge is on pace to hit 66 bombs in 2022. The odds are much closer, but still against him.
Will the Aaron Judge break Roger Maris’ team home run record?
Yes +140
No -180
Judge has also vaulted to the favorite position in the AL MVP race. He was second to Shohei Ohtani 10 days ago, with +125 odds but now is listed at -225.
Finally, below are the latest trade odds for Ohtani and Juan Soto.
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