It ain’t bragging if it’s true! I am 32-15 in football off another complete sweep of named plays. I am simply so far and away the top football handicapper in the world, almost no pro bettors will bet without my wisdom. NFL and college football winners for Thursday. Friday, get a college football total. Saturday, AAC Total of the Year and Big 10 Cross-Divisional Total of the Year among three Wise Guy among 11 football winners. Sunday, the Mr. NFL responds with five NFL Wise Guys and three Majors.Get the picks now
AKRON +14.5 Bowling Green
College football handicapping is arguably the sport slightly different than some of the other US ATS sports. Most of my best systems would fall under the umbrella of counterintuitive, but this is one of several in college football that are more intuitive. Basically it says to take big points in games the oddsmakers tell us points will be tough to come by.
Big road underdogs in games expected to be low-scoring are 479-352. Power ratings have this a 9.8 point game, thus at 3.8 percent edge. My top simulator has Akron covering 62 percent of the time.
The NBA’s opening night is exactly two weeks away so it’s a good time to look at the odds heading into the 2021-22 season.
At SportsBetting, the Clippers find themselves with much worse odds than they had at the start of last season (+500). Kawhi Leonard is recovering from an ACL injury, and the Pacific Division is much improved.
The Warriors, however, are fourth on the odds board with Klay Thompson expected to return to action in December or January.
Below are the latest division, conference and title odds, and current odds leading to and throughout the season can be found SportsBetting
Despite a signature victory against Notre Dame last Saturday, Cincinnati’s chances of qualifying for the CFP tournament aren’t terribly good, at least according to the odds.
SportsBetting.ag released updated odds to make the CFP four-team field. There are two runaway favorites, and then there are seven teams with better than 6-1 odds.
Additionally, below you will find the latest title and Heisman Trophy numbers.
Georgia has impressed the oddsmakers enough that the Bulldogs are now national championship co-favorites with Alabama.
Simply put, there is nobody even in the discussion with Joe Duffy when it comes to the greatest handicapper in history. The CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com is 32-14 in football including winning Conference USA West Total of the Year on Rice-Southern Miss UNDER 45.5
and New England as +7 SNF Interconference Game of the Year. Advanced analytics literally do thousands of manhours of work and millions of dollars worth of winning. Are you still on the outside looking in? Here is what every pro gambler unloaded with this weekend. Let us know when you are ready to change your gambling life!
Wise Guy
Rice-Southern Miss UNDER 45.5
Conference USA West Total of the Year
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 898-647. Teams off dominating running game go under 488-226. Combining both rushing and math totals produces a stunning under of 94-33.
Oregon State-Washington UNDER 55.5
Teams off dominating running game go under 488-226.
Texas-TCU UNDER 67
Teams off dominating running game go under 488-226.
UCLA-Arizona State UNDER 56.5
Teams off dominating running game go under 488-226.
EASTERN MICHIGAN +2 Northern Illinois
Momentum angle is 1386-1136 and our power line says EMU should be -2.3.
Major
COASTAL CAROLINA -33.5 UL Monroe
Momentum angle is 1386-1136. It has been very good the last couple of years after a 50-50ish slump several years ago. College football is the top momentum sport from a betting standpoint.
GEORGIA -16 Arkansas
Momentum angle is 1386-1136. It has been very good the last couple of years after a 50-50ish slump several years ago. College football is the top momentum sport from a betting standpoint.
PITTSBURGH -3 GA Tech
Momentum angle is 1386-1136. It has been very good the last couple of years after a 50-50ish slump several years ago. College football is the top momentum sport from a betting standpoint.
OHIO STATE -16 Rutgers
Momentum angle is 1386-1136. It has been very good the last couple of years after a 50-50ish slump several years ago. College football is the top momentum sport from a betting standpoint.
NFL
Wise Guy
Dallas-Carolina OVER 50.5 1:00
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 816-601 for 155 units.
Philadelphia-Kansas City OVER 54.5 1:00
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 816-601 for 155 units.
NY Jets-Tennessee OVER 45 1:00
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 816-601 for 155 units.
Green Bay-Pittsburgh OVER 45.5 4:25
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 816-601 for 155 units.
New Orleans-NY Giants OVER 41.5 1:00
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 816-601 for 155 units.
NEW ENGLAND +7 Tampa SNF
SNF Interconference Game of the Year
I have been monitoring contrarian betting for decades and this is one of the strongest contrarian bets I have ever seen. Every square on earth loves the Bucs, but sharps do not agree. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 54 percent. When a team has a substantially more disappointing offense based on delta points scored, they become a strong bet as regression to the mean takes place. Delta points scored is how many points they scored relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread.
Major
Chicago-Detroit UNDER 42 1:00
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1559-1245 for +189.5 units.
Atlanta-Washington UNDER 48 1:00
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1559-1245 for +189.5 units.
NY JETS +6 Tennessee 1:00
This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.
ARIZONA +4.5 LA Rams 4:05
I have seen this movie before. An underachieving QB gets new life after being traded. The world is convinced he is finally in the perfect situation. Just as expectations skyrocket, we find out the player is what we thought they were. I am not buying that Matt Stafford is one of the top QBs in the league. As a fairly big favorite against a good team, I fully expect the honeymoon to come to a crashing halt
Advanced analytics are tearing the bookmakers to shreds. I am now 16-6 in football and off a 10-4 NFL week. This is no surprise. I’ve been exceeding promises for 33 years. Thursday, I have NFL and college Wise Guy bets on the sides, and a Major play college total. Get the picks now
****Friday, I have Wise Guy and Major in college football. Saturday, Conference USA West Total of the Year is among five Wise Guys in college football. Sunday, five NFL Wise Guys, two Majors. As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s picks. So get Bet it Trinity or Joe Duffy’s Picks (includes football only weekly) five-day pick pack or longer.
Bet teams in college football to bet on based on margin of cover, AKA sweat barometer. This list compiled by OffshoreInsiders.com home of the greatest and hottest capper ever Joe Duffy. Advanced analytics are tearing the bookmakers to shreds. I am now 16-6 in football and off a 10-4 NFL week. This is no surprise. I’ve been exceeding promises for 33 years. Wise Guy college football bets Thursday, Friday, and five Saturday among nine college football winners so far. NFL coming!
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Bowling Green
4-0
+17.6
Rutgers
4-0
+16.4
Georgia
3-1
+14.5
Arkansas
4-0
+13.2
Ole Miss
2-0-1
+12
From OffshoreInsiders.com
Now the best teams to bet against.
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Rice
0-4
-21.4
Ohio
0-4
-21
Vanderbilt
1-3
-15.6
Ball State
0-4
-15.2
From OffshoreInsiders.com
Top over teams:
Team
OU Record (overs-under)
OU margin
Pittsburgh
4-0
+19.4
WKU
3-0
+14.7
Texas Tech
2-2
+14.4
Missouri
3-1
+12.6
From OffshoreInsiders.com
Top under teams:
Team
OU Record (overs-under)
OU margin
San Jose State
1-3
-22.5
Texas A&M
0-4
-20.5
Purdue
0-4
-18.2
North Texas
0-4
-18.1
Clemson
1-3
-17.9
Colorado
1-3
-16.4
From OffshoreInsiders.com
Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.
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At 44 years young, Tom Brady and his Bucs are outplaying Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, and the oddsmakers have taken notice.
SportsBetting updated NFL awards odds for MVP, Offensive/Defensive ROY, Defensive POY, Comeback POY and Coach of the Year.
Mahomes entered the season as the MVP favorite and carried that through Week 1, but after the Chiefs’ loss to Baltimore, the old man has moved past the youngster on the odds board. Mahomes has actually slipped to third behind Kyler Murray.
Could this year’s Heisman Trophy go to a player not on a title-contending team?
In the latest Heisman odds from SportsBetting Ole Miss quarterback Matt Corral has moved in front of Alabama signal caller Bryce Young to take over the top spot.
Corral entered the season with 25-1 Heisman odds. Through three games, he’s completed 68.8% of his passes for 997 yards with nine touchdowns and no interceptions.
Ole Miss is undefeated so Lane Kiffin’s squad is still in the CFP National Championship picture, but the Rebels’ current 50-1 odds suggest their chances are still very long. Ole Miss had 100-1 odds going in to Saturday.
Spencer Rattler, the preseason Heisman favorite, has seen his odds fall to 10-1.
The top 10 teams in the country prevailed over the weekend so there wasn’t a ton of shakeup in terms of the national title odds.
Alabama and Georgia separated themselves from the pack a bit more after lackluster victories by Clemson and Oklahoma.
Penn State’s odds moved from 40-1 to 25-1 following the Auburn game.
Heisman Trophy Odds
Matt Corral – Ole Miss 7-4 (+175)
Bryce Young – Alabama 3-1 (+300)
Spencer Rattler – Oklahoma 10-1
CJ Stroud – Ohio State 16-1
CJ Verdell – Oregon 16-1
Desmond Ridder – Cincinnati 16-1
JT Daniels – Georgia 18-1
Malik Willis – Liberty 20-1
Sam Howell – UNC 20-1
TreVeyon Henderson – Ohio State 33-1
Bijan Robinson – Texas 40-1
D.J. Uiagalelei – Clemson 40-1
Kenneth Walker III – Michigan State 40-1
Anthony Brown – Oregon 50-1
Brian Robinson Jr. – Alabama 50-1
Emory Jones – Florida 50-1
Sean Clifford – Penn State 50-1
Dorian Thompson-Robinson – UCLA 66-1
Taulia Tagovailoa – Maryland 66-1
D’Eriq King – Miami 80-1
Jack Coan – Notre Dame 80-1
Jayden Daniels – Arizona State 80-1
John Metchie III – Alabama 80-1
Tank Bigsby – Auburn 80-1
Anthony Richardson – Florida 100-1
Breece Hall – Iowa State 100-1
Grayson McCall – Coastal Carolina 100-1
Kyren Williams – Notre Dame 100-1
Tyler Shough – Texas Tech 100-1
Bo Nix – Auburn 150-1
Top 30 CFP Odds
Alabama 2-1
Georgia 5-2
Clemson 10-1
Ohio State 10-1
Oklahoma 10-1
Oregon 16-1
Penn State 25-1
Texas A&M 25-1
Michigan 40-1
Cincinnati 50-1
Iowa 50-1
Notre Dame 50-1
Ole Miss 50-1
Florida 66-1
Iowa State 80-1
Miami 80-1
LSU 100-1
Michigan State 125-1
North Carolina 125-1
Texas 125-1
Wisconsin 125-1
Auburn 150-1
UCLA 150-1
USC 150-1
West Virginia 175-1
Arkansas 200-1
BYU 200-1
Kansas State 200-1
Kentucky 200-1
Oklahoma State 200-1
Virginia Tech 200-1
Joe Duffy is the top football handicapper to ever walk Earth and no sane person will argue. Get his picks at OffshoreInsiders.com
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