Stevie Vincent rolls along! TGO does it again winning with American League Game of the Year on Cleveland to make the latest explosion 6-2 last three days. Perfect Play in pro basketball among three winners, a pro baseball OU and two pro hoops. Vincent is the top pitching expert in all of sports betting. He knows which pitchers are truly hot or cold which out outliers. Nobody in gambling has this acumen like TGO. Get the picks now 

Best NBA teams based on margin of cover. 

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
New York	39-22-1	+4.4
Detroit	33-27-2	+2.2
Memphis	38-22-1	+2.1
Charlotte	32-28-1	+2.9

Best teams to bet against based on margin of cover.

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
Orlando	28-31-2	-3.3
Houston	21-41	-3
Miami	27-34-1	-2.8
Sacramento	27-33-1	-2.4

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

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Scorephone legend is the top handicapper bar none when it comes to handicapping pitchers. He is ranked No. 2 all-time in MLB units won and feared for this Pitchers Report Card plays. Nailed MLB PRC Game of the Month AGAIN Monday with huge dog Reds +165. Pitchers Report Card Parlay of the Week with Detroit +215 and Cincinnati +222. That elevates this icon to his best start ever in MLB. NL PRC Game of the Month. Get a free sports service bet, which also has the full menu, then Get the picks now    

MLB

Kansas City under 49-26-3 last 78

Tampa Rays 57-33 last 90 +17.58 units

Cubs under 29-10-2 to NL

Mariners 33-26 last 58 games +16.29 

NBA

New York 55-30-1 ATS last 86

Phoenix 47-24-1 ATS last 72

New York 41-19-1 to East 

New Orleans over 61-38-1

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MLB free pick from Joe Duffy is:

TAMPA (GLASNOW -1.5 +125) Oakland (Irvin)

Oakland is 15-9 including a very impressive 7-3 on the road. Tampa is 12-12 overall and a terrible 5-7 at home. So how the heck can Tampa be such a massive favorite? Inferior (based on winning percentage) big favorites are a great bet, even better on runline at +105.72 units for an 8.1 ROI. 

Going with big favorites that stranded a lot of baserunners last game are +439.78 units. It’s a way of exploiting deceptive box scores. Tyler Glasnow just a .198 OBP against compared to .323 for Irvin. 

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Big day for professional gamblers. Juicy Lucys, once called Dandy Dogs, are either moneyline or runline bets in which we are getting at least +140. Two Juicy Lucy among four MLB Wise Guys, plus NBA Wise Guy and Major. 

NBA includes the longest-running winning system that you and I have won with together since I was fresh out of college in the 1980s. MLB is led by the greatest system in sports in terms of units won! Get the picks now 

MLB trends

Marlins 24-19 road last 43 for +19.50 units

Minnesota Twins under 31-10-3 as favorites to AL

Royals under 48-26-3

Mariners 33-25 last 58 or +17.29 units  

NBA Trends

Bucks 32-12 ATS laying -7 to -11; 22-6 if to East

Thunder 37-17 ATS road

Thunder under 30-14-1 as road underdogs 

Timberwolves 48-72-3 ATS

Rockets 16-36 ATS home

Free: 

PORTLAND -5 Indiana

Portland is ice-cold, losing five in a row SU, 6-of-7, and 9-of-11. The Pacers have won three in a row. How the hell can the Blazers be big away favorites? Well betting big away favorites in a losing streak is 277-171-11. Fading home underdogs off a win under specific situations that apply in this game is 80-34-1. 

So an angry superior team is playing at one that is fat and happy. Many other angles, some that would overlap, apply here. Many contain angry away favorites off a loss and/or fat and happy home underdogs off win. This has both. 

TeamRankings and SportsLine give us a decent edge. 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Minnesota (76), Brooklyn (74)

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Nothing of significance 

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Houston 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Golden State opened +1.5 now -5 (Doncic questionable though line suggests sharps believe he’s out)

For decades few things bring us more pain than the term “extra innings.” We go 3-2 yesterday and of course both losers the only two games to go extra frames. Two NBA totals with spectacular super systems. Many of our MLB top systems have to do with same-series adjustments by both teams and oddsmakers. Thus, with first games of series, we may not have many baseball bets tonight if at all. Get the picks now 

Free NBA pick…

WASHINGTON -9.5 Oklahoma City 

Play undervalued teams to overvalued team when using advanced analytics numbers and comparing to SU record and spread is 426-221. Fade big home dogs if not off a low scoring game and not with a substantial amount of rest and neither team has an extreme winning percentage is 540-355-23. Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak. Washington has scored 117 points or more in six straight, so the big number is well within reach.

Washington has won 8-of-9 to climb into playoff race, so won’t overlook an inferior OKC squad. 

Duffy, MasterLockLine, and Stevie Vincent all with big night portfolios at OffshoreInsiders.com    

Free pick from NBA:

CLEVELAND +3 Chicago

Despite being nine games under .500 overall, Chicago is a solid 13-15 SU road and 19-9 against spread. Go against teams better on road now on road is 148-99-7. Both TeamRankings, NumberFire, Action Network all givem slight edges to us. 

Stephen Curry has been on another planet in the scoring department lately, averaging nearly 40 points per game in April.

Curry’s torrid run includes 54 made 3-pointers in his last six outings, and the oddsmakers have taken notice. 

On April 9, SportsBetting had Curry listed with 100/1 odds to take home a third MVP title. 

While Jokic is an overwhelming favorite with -350 or 2/7 odds, Curry’s chances have dropped immensely. 

Additionally in the NBA Awards odds world, LaMelo Ball finds himself atop the Rookie of the Year leaderboard once again with news recently surfacing that he may return from injury in the next few weeks.

Anthony Edwards moved into the ROY favorite position after Ball broke his wrist, but the possibility of Ball returning has prompted betting on him and flipped the odds. 

— Odds for MVP, ROY, Defensive Player of the Year and Most Improved Player are provided by SportsBetting  —

MVP
Nikola Jokic 2/7
Joel Embiid 7/2
Giannis Antetokounmpo 16/1
Stephen Curry 18/1
James Harden 25/1
Damian Lillard 30/1
LeBron James 42/1
Luka Doncic 42/1
Chris Paul 140/1
Kawhi Leonard 160/1
Donovan Mitchell 160/1

ROY
LaMelo Ball 1/2
Anthony Edwards 2/1
Tyrese Haliburton 6/1
Immanuel Quickley 55/1
Deni Avdija 130/1
Saddiq Bey 130/1
Patrick Williams 130/1
Desmond Bane 130/1
Payton Pritchard 130/1

DPOY
Rudy Gobert 1/3
Ben Simmons 3/2
Myles Turner 6/1
Giannis Antetokounmpo 36/1
Joel Embiid 65/1
Bam Adebayo 100/1
Kawhi Leonard 100/1
Draymond Green 120/1
Jimmy Butler 120/1

Most Improved Player
Julius Randle 1/5
Jerami Grant 4/1
Michael Porter Jr. 16/1
Christian Wood 20/1
Zion Williamson 20/1
Jaylen Brown 42/1
Nikola Jokic 65/1
Zach LaVine 100/1
Chris Boucher 100/1
Colin Sexton 100/1

Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.

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Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has four Wise Guys for Monday. Get three MLB and one NBA. Get the picks now

NBA free winner…

WASHINGTON -12 Oklahoma City

Large favorites have become very good bets since 2016. Under specific situations that apply in this game they are 256-149-9. The number one reason is because with all the rules favoring tempo, the advantage is higher than ever for faster and more athletic teams. 

NBA trends

• Phoenix 45-22 ats 
• Oklahoma City 35-16 on road
• Denver over 48-28-1 as favorites
• San Antonio under 33-15 to East

MLB

• Tampa 42-20 if total is between 6.5-8.5
• Kansas City under 19-4 to AL with total between 6.5-8.5

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Detroit (70), Golden State (60)

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Boston (94), Utah (93)

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Boston, Cleveland, Utah 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Detroit -1.5 to +3, Denver -4.5 to -7.5, Philadelphia -7.5 to -10

The hits keep coming! Six MLB Wise Guys off another winning day in MLB going 3-2 led by +168 on Texas.I’m not bullshitting when I tell you the database audit is the best thing that has ever happened to us professional gamblers. So juiced for tonight. Six NBA led by Wise Guy. Joe Duffy’s Wise Guy plays the strongest bet in the gambling cosmos. Ask any pro gambler! Get the picks now 

MLB free pick:

CLEVELAND (ALLEN +107) Cincinnati (Hoffman)

Cleveland just 3-4 road, while Reds 5-1 at home. Yet pretty much a pick. Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is +155.64 units and a 15.3 ROI. If teams are small away underdogs despite a big net run disadvantage, listen to what the oddsmakers tell you and go with the seemingly inferior small road underdog at 91.26 units and 11.8 ROI. Logan Allen has pitched well in two starts with a 2.70 ER, solid 1.2 WHIP. Both are better than Jeff Hoffman’s numbers. 

MLB Trends:

Twins under 35-11-3 to AL

San Francisco 33-23 with total 7.5-9.5 for +16.65 units

Cubs under 23-5-2 to NL

Colorado 18-41 last 49 for -18.4 units

NBA

Oklahoma City 35-14 road

Philadelphia over 27-10 as favorites

Rockets 45-74-1

Timberwolves 44-71-2

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: San Antonio (72), LA Clippers (65), Washington (64), Minnesota (59) all underdogs 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Portland (93), Toronto (87)

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Portland, Toronto, Philadelphia 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Detroit -7 to -3, New Orleans P to  -2.5

JDP continues to take handicapping to a brand-new level at 36-22 all. This includes Tigers has huge dogs each of the previous two nights cashing in. NBA sweep means 16-6 lately there. Three days winners in MLB, five night, all Wise Guys. 

Two NBA Wise Guys, but includes rare day game 4:30 ET among three NBA.

Free NBA pick

DALLAS -2.5 Memphis

You would look at each team’s record and see that Dallas is 29-24 SU, Memphis is 27-25. Those records are close enough that with home court advantage, seeing the road team laying 2.5. But we have an angle that compares advanced metrics to the line and record and isolates undervalued to overvalued teams and that is the case here with Mavs having and angle 414-212-11 favoring them. Road favorites that shoot substantially more three-pointers than league average are 1265-1027-49. 

Dallas has lost two straight and 3-of-4 but nice bounceback angle that is 883-699-25. Fade home underdogs off win under specific situations is 78-33-1. With Memphis hotter team at 5-2 last seven, many more angles using the oddsmakers knowledge against them going with better but colder team. 

NBA Trends

• Milwaukee 30-10 against the spread in its last 40 games when the spread is between -11.5 and -7.5
• Kings over 60-38-2 last 100
• San Antonio under 16-1 as a road favorite off a win as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than five blocks per game
• Detroit 17-1 when the spread is between 6 and 10 following a loss
• Milwaukee under 21-2 off a 10+ win in a road game in which they never trailed
• Memphis under 28-11 at home
• Timberwolves 44-70-2 last 116

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Miami Heat (62) which is high for an underdog, Toronto (59) significant because the public again backing underdogs 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Milwaukee (85), Chicago (85)

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: San Antonio, Chicago 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: