Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy rocks at 52-34 in hoops, 3-1 last night. Three NBA led by two Wise Guys. That system about fading overvalued home teams plays big tonight. #hint Get the picks now
Free
ATLANTA +3 Boston
The Hawks have dropped 7-of-8 SU and three straight ATS, yet getting a mere three-points from a team 7-4 SU at home and 8-3. Road underdogs under .500 on ATS losing streak versus an unrested team on pointspread winning streak are 929-685-30.
Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has four NBA winners, two sides, two totals. We are so appreciative, even giddy about the unprecedented loyalty of our clients. Still traffic tracking tells us several of you are still on the outside looking in. At some point, you need to raise the bar rather than just keeping the books in business. Get the picks now
Free winner from Joe Duffy…
LA Lakers-Minnesota OVER 223
LA is the No. 5 under team in the NBA going under by an average of 3.2 points per game and under at a 17-11 rate. Though Minnesota is a slight under at 13-12 to the under, it is by -2.4 points per game, making them the No. 7 under team based on margin. When two big under teams based on margin meet, it’s regression to the mean time. Said matchups go over 798-580-26. Our No. 2 model has it going over 56.3 percent.
The Grandmaster is 48-30 with all hoop picks. Two Wise Guys among four NBA winners from Joe Duffy at OffshoreInsiders.com
Free pick:
HOUSTON -1 Washington
Houston is on an 0-5 SU and ATS skid. Road teams under .500 on ATS losing streak versus an unrested team on pointspread winning streak are 928-683-30 including 60.5 percent as a fave. Road favorites that shoot substantially more three-pointers than league average is 1337-1087-54. Away favorites off loss 798-626-22. Away favorites on at least a five-game losing streak are 68-39-3. When said teams road winning percentage is better than the home teams home winning percentage, it wins 66.7 percent of the time.
Superstar Joe Duffy goes 3-1 last night and is 34-20 overall. Six winners led by three Wise Guys including a newly acquired system that happens to be one of the great side systems in the NBA. Get the picks now
Free pick…
CLEVELAND STATE +3 Detroit
Detroit is in a groove winning and covering five straight. Though I’ve said college sports are more about momentum, why am I fading them here? Cleveland State is better than the three teams Detroit beat Oakland, Youngstown, an IUPU-Ft. Wayne. In the first four wins, they shot 51.8 percent from the field, but came down to earth last game shooting just 44.6. Now they face a Cleveland State team that allows just 41.7 percent shooting, including 29 from three.
Tits won’t get those open looks. Our anti-splits angles are on pro sports. They do not hold up in college and CSU is 7-1 SU and ATS at home by 8.3 points per game. Cleveland State will swarm Antoine Davis and Marquell Fraser. Detroit’s zone has not been effective enough to slow down Cleveland State.
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More than half of the projected division victors are different when comparing last year’s odds to the 2021 season’s odds.
Going into last season, the division favorites were the Patriots, Ravens, Texans, Chiefs, Eagles, Packers, Saints and 49ers. Only the Ravens, Chiefs and Packers carry over that distinction in the 2021 division odds.
SportsBetting released NFL division odds for next season on Thursday.
(Fractional odds are listed first and American odds second. They equate to same numbers.)
AFC East Buffalo Bills 2/3 (-150) Miami Dolphins 5/2 (+250) New England Patriots 6/1 (+600) New York Jets 15/1 (+1500)
AFC North Baltimore Ravens 5/4 (+125) Pittsburgh Steelers 2/1 (+200) Cleveland Browns 5/2 (+250) Cincinnati Bengals 20/1 (+2000)
AFC South Tennessee Titans 4/5 (-125) Indianapolis Colts 5/4 (+125) Houston Texans 12/1 (+1200) Jacksonville Jaguars 14/1 (+1400)
AFC West Kansas City Chiefs 1/4 (-400) Los Angeles Chargers 4/1 (+400) Las Vegas Raiders 15/1 (+1500) Denver Broncos 18/1 (+1800)
NFC East Dallas Cowboys 1/1 (+100) Philadelphia Eagles 5/2 (+250) Washington 11/2 (+550) New York Giants 13/2 (+650))
NFC North Green Bay Packers 1/2 (-200) Minnesota Vikings 7/2 (+350) Chicago Bears /1 (+500) Detroit Lions 25/1 (+2500)
NFC South Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1/2 (-200) New Orleans Saints 5/2 (+250) Carolina Panthers 10/1 (+1000) Atlanta Falcons 12/1 (+1200)
NFC West Los Angeles Rams 3/2 (+150) Seattle Seahawks 2/1 (+200) San Francisco 49ers 3/1 (+300) Arizona Cardinals 7/1 (+700)
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Please like, subscribe, and comment on the official dad jokes YouTube channel. Great scented wax, scents for you home, car, office, and warmers at DuffyScents.com. These great smelling scents are ideal for pet owners. You can order from anywhere in the world, but for local parties in Johns Creek, Alpharetta, Roswell, she is the Scentsy consultant!
Your Grandmaster Joe Duffy had another UNDER lose in OT, but there are sharp reasons why we suck it up. Still a nice 31-19 with hoops lately and all has been right in 2021. Four winners, three NBA and one college. Get the picks now
NBA free winning pick on…
ORLANDO +8 Golden State
Orlando is ice-cold both SU and ATS. Golden State has been solid both SU and ATS, much more so at home. Squares see that and pounce on Golden Showers. Road underdogs under .500 on ATS losing streak versus an unrested team on pointspread winning streak are 926-679-30. Sharp bettors know we win ugly with regression to the mean. I bet at Bovada
Sixers, our only Wise Guy hits last night. I am 29-17 lately. Four NBA tonight led by Wise Guy. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are the single strongest bet in gambling. Get the picks now
Free winning pick is…
TORONTO -5 Washington
Fade big home dogs if not off a low scoring game nor with a substantial amount of rest and neither team has an extreme winning percentage is 496-332-24. Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak is 373-237-12. Road favorites that shoot substantially more three-pointers than league average are 1336-1082-54. Go against teams off a close win but dominated at free throw line are 411-288-14.
One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 62 percent. Another top model has our side covering 58.6 percent. MasseyRatings has spread at -7.5 with Toronto winning by eight. I bet at Bovada
Off yet another winning performance, Joe Duffy’s Picks is 27-14. Hop on the massive sale on 100-day pick pack. Five NBA winners led by a Wise Guy. I told you last week this was the early stages of an all-time great run. This a golden era for pro bettors as normalcy returns just as the proliferation of US-based books has created the greatest sharp vs. square dichotomy since the late 80s/early 90s. Get the picks now
NBA free pick is…
Orlando-Portland UNDER 220
Many of our systems involve exploiting counterintuitive point spreads or totals. Sundry massive syndicates have similar betting formulas, but a half-point difference in the parameters, not to mention slight variances in sportsbooks current line can be a difference between when their system is triggered and ours is not or vice versa. Hence, sometimes a super system is steamed into at a worse line.
This is the case here and as such, chasing steam conflicts with power and computer ratings and other metrics, it is not a premium bet, but still strong enough to release as a free one.
Total based on recent form and current total goes under 1637-1120-74. I bet at GTBets.
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