It is Sunday Night Football, New England vs. Seattle on NBC and streamed live. Each team is off double-digit wins and covers. New England went under, Seattle over in their initial contests.
Odds: Seattle is mostly a four-point favorite on live NFL lines but there are some 3.5s, though must with added juice. That total is predominately 45, though 44.5 has been seen at some books. The game opened Seattle -3, but with a whopping -137 juice, so in reality the line has not moved much as -4 was the price with normal juice. The total is up though from its 44 debut.
Public betting percentages: 68 percent of bets and money are on Seattle, but a massive discrepancy in the total with 70 percent of tickets on over, but 59 percent of money on under. Sharps say this implies the smart money is on the under.
Power ratings: New England winning 23-22 with power line of Pats -.5 and 44.5.
Computer simulations ATS: One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found Seattle covering 51 percent of the time with the total going over 50 percent at 45, so with pushes, also a slim edge to the over with a projected final of Seattle 25-22. Another has New England covering at a 52.6-44.5 rate, with some pushes at 4. They have 60.1 percent of simulations exceeding 44.5. At 45, it’s 57.2-39.9 on the over, the rest pushes.
Against the spread trends: New England is 20-8 after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game but 0-4-1 versus an opponent with a winning record. Seattle 3-7 off cover and 2-6 home favorites.
Over-under trends: Seattle over 9-3 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Series has gone over five straight.
Top expert pick on today’s card is from LateInfo wins with BC, even after big steam, everyone won! 22-5 since bowls! 10-2 since restart, 4-0 football! SNF side New England vs. Seattle from Big Red Syndicate. Big Red is a major figure and pioneer in offshore betting. He has unique access to professional oddsmakers and gamblers. All his bets are based on consulting with elite handicappers, pro bettors and linesmakers and tops the list of sources for LateInfo. Get the picks now