Phillies (Nola -104)-Braves (Fried) 8

• 56% of moneyline tickets on Braves, but 66% of cash on Phillies
  • Implies sharp money on Philadelphia
• 51% of tickets on UNDER, 86% of money also on UNDER
  • Sharp money on UNDER
• Phillies with .468 slugging percentage, .810 OPS last 7
  • Braves just .762 OPS same span
• Phillies 1-4 road -2.8 and 9-12 all -8.1 units
• Atlanta 8-3 home +4.4 units
• Sets up anti-splits angle road team’s winning percentage is at least .370 worse than home team’s winning percentage and not at least 155 favorites, +127.27 units for 9.8 ROI
• Nola .183 BA against, including .153 last three, but first road game
• Fried 1.24 ERA overall, .52 last three and .95 at night

Free pick: PHILLIES

 

The Arizona Diamondbacks takes on the Oakland Athletics. Alex Young is on the bump for Arizona, Sean Manaea for Oakland. Oakland is -155 at 5 Dimes  with a total of 9o-105. Sixty-five percent of bets and 72 percent of cash are placed on the A’s moneyline, with 58 percent of tickets, but a stunning 91 percent of money on the over. This ratio implies sharp money on exceeding the total.

Arizona just had a six-game winning streak snapped, but are 6-1 the last seven for +5.8 units, with an outstanding team OPS of .822 during that span. Fading underdogs off having a six-game or more winning streak is profitable at 148-100 for 8.27 units, plus 9.58 if laying at least -150.

Arizona is only 5-8 on the road, compared to 8-4 at home. The A’s are 5-2 their last seven, going over 5-of-7 with a very strong .845 OPS.

Young’s innings are limited, but he has struggled more on the road with a 5.40 ERA, compared to 2.45 at home. Manaea is struggling with a 7.65 ERA overall, 8.18 last three, and 9.00 at home and a horrific 9.58 at night, with a .442 OBP against under the lights.

Moneyline trends: Arizona is 26-54 in IL road games versus an opponent with a winning record and 1-6 on the road to lefties. Oakland is 38-14 going back to last season at home but 3-7 IL at home to lefties. Oakland is 4-1 home in the series.

Over-under trends: Oakland has gone over 7-1 as favorites, but under 11-4 versus an opponent with a winning record. The series has gone under 4-of-5. Left-handed relief pitcher Andrew Chafin is out for the D-Backs with an injury.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Nothing like an extra innings grand slam to screw your under, but our great skill again beats bad luck and we have a winning day. Four NBA winners up plus two MLB totals day action.  Get the picks now

 

 

After the SEC finalized its regular season schedule, updated wins projections were set for each team.

There are also odds to win the Big 12, SEC and SEC divisions.

Odds are courtesy of SportsBetting 

Big 12

Oklahoma       -125     (4/5)

Texas  +140    (7/5)

Oklahoma State          +750    (15/2)

Iowa State       +1200  (12/1)

TCU    +2000  (20/1)

Baylor +2500  (25/1)

West Virginia +2500  (25/1)

Kansas State   +3300  (33/1)

Texas Tech     +6600  (66/1)

Kansas +10000            (100/1)

SEC

Alabama          -130     (10/13)

Georgia           +250    (5/2)

Florida +550    (11/2)

LSU    +650    (13/2)

Texas A&M    +1200  (12/1)

Auburn            +1400  (14/1)

Mississippi State         +8000  (80/1)

Tennessee       +8000  (80/1)

Kentucky        +10000            (100/1)

Ole Miss         +10000            (100/1)

Missouri          +12500            (125/1)

South Carolina            +12500            (125/1)

Vanderbilt       +25000            (250/1)

Arkansas         +50000            (500/1)

East Division

Georgia           -140     (5/7)

Florida +100    (1/1)

Tennessee       +1400  (14/1)

Kentucky        +1600  (16/1)

Missouri          +2500  (25/1)

South Carolina            +2500  (25/1)

Vanderbilt       +5000  (50/1)

West Division 

Alabama          -240     (5/12)

LSU    +300    (3/1)

Auburn            +600    (6/1)

Texas A&M    +900    (9/1)

Mississippi State         +1800  (18/1)

Ole Miss         +2500  (25/1)

Arkansas         +10000            (100/1)

SEC Regular Season Win Total at SportsBetting

Alabama

Over/Under 7.5

Georgia

Over/Under 7

Florida

Over/Under 7

LSU

Over/Under 6.5

Texas A&M

Over/Under 6.5

Auburn

Over/Under 6

Tennessee

Over/Under 5.5

Kentucky

Over/Under 5

Mississippi State

Over/Under 4.5

Ole Miss

Over/Under 4

South Carolina

Over/Under 3.5

Missouri

Over/Under 3

Arkansas

Over/Under 2.5

Vanderbilt

Over/Under 2

Free winning pick from Joe Duffy for Monday. He has NBA has three winners including first Wise Guy side since March. Many of the regular season side systems have nullified by neutral courts, but postseason is another story. Most of our top angles apply. That is why we have our first Wise Guy in the NBA side. Night MLB added.  Get the picks now

OAKLAND (BASSITT -103) Arizona (Gallen) at GTBets

Road teams with hot pitcher based on team W-L in his recent starts are 583-456 for +118.36 for 9.3 ROI. We have another angle that has to do with some same series stats. Admittedly, it is even more jaw dropping on runline, but also turns a sweet profit on the moneyline.

 

Your Grandmaster is 7-2 with Wise Guys, thanks in no small part to the greatest system in world history. It applies today to three Wise Guys in MLB. This includes a Juicy Lucy! Previously referred as a Dandy Dog, a Juicy Lucy is either a moneyline underdog or runline favorite in which we get at least +140 juice. We changed the name to reflect it includes runline chalk. Also get four Majors thanks to the top totals system in betting history. In both cases, criterion is based on units won. One is a jaw-dropping 783.78 units, the other +409.29!  Get the picks now

Free

MILWAUKEE (HOUSER -1.5 +135) Cubs (Rea) MyBookie

The Cubs have been very dominant at home at 8-2. However, this creates an anti-splits angle in which history says they will regress to the mean at home. If the Cubs become the favorite, yes this super system holds up on moneyline, but it’s even more dominant on runline at 1487-1002 for +157.79 units and a 4 ROI. As road favorites it’s a whopping 10.8 ROI.

Bovada has become the headquarters for all-day live betting.

The weird NBA playoffs of 202o have series prices at sportsbooks like Bovada and MYBookie

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	Monday, 17th August 2020	ML
SERIES PRICE – Best of Seven
1:30 PM
313	JAZZ	175
314	Nuggets	-210
SERIES PRICE – Best of Seven
4:00 PM
307	NETS	1500
308	RAPTORS	-3000
SERIES PRICE – Best of Seven
6:30 PM
305	76ers	375
306	Celtics	-470
SERIES PRICE – Best of Seven
9:00 PM
315	Mavericks	365
316	Clippers	-460
	Tuesday, 18th August 2020	ML
SERIES PRICE – Best of Seven
1:30 PM
301	MAGIC	3000
302	Bucks	-7000
SERIES PRICE – Best of Seven
4:00 PM
303	PACERS	255
304	HEAT	-310
SERIES PRICE – Best of Seven
6:30 PM
311	ROCKETS	-175
312	THUNDER	155